Cleveland Indians vs. Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Cleveland Indians will be facing off against the Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre. This AL matchup will get going at 1:07 p.m. ET and SportsTime Ohio will televise the game.

Cleveland Indians vs. Toronto Blue Jays Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Cleveland (-165) as the favorite over Toronto (+155). The total is sitting at 9 runs and bettors can wager on the over for even money (+100) and the under for -120. Runline odds sit at -115 for taking the Indians -1.5 runs and -105 for the Blue Jays +1.5.

The Blue Jays are 64-78 straight up (SU) and 59-82 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 10.0 units for moneyline bettors and 34.1 units (ATS). Toronto has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Indians are 81-61 SU and have gone 68-73 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 18.1 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 14.3 units ATS. Cleveland is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.

Blue Jays games have a 73-60-8 over/under record in 2018. Cleveland has an over/under record of 68-66-7.

Right-hander Mike Clevinger is the projected starter for the visiting Indians. Clevinger is 11-7 with a 3.11 ERA and 182 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 9.00 ERA against Toronto this year.

The Blue Jays will put the ball in the hands of Thomas Pannone (1-1, 4.58 ERA), who has 13 strikeouts and four walks this season as well as a 1.13 WHIP. Pannone hasn’t faced the Indians yet this year and did not record any MLB pitching stats last season.

Cleveland’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 3.41 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 9.61 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.69, along with a WHIP of 1.14.

Indians hitters have slashed .258/.332/.435 on their way to 5.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

Cleveland’s hitters have been led by shortstop Francisco Lindor and left fielder Michael Brantley, who have combined to blast 48 home runs. Lindor is slashing .284/.358/.527 with 33 home runs, 84 RBIs, 117 runs and 23 stolen bases, while Brantley has a .304 average with 15 homers, 72 RBIs and 78 runs scored.

For the home team, Toronto’s pitchers have yielded 5.2 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starters have a 5.29 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.34 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.9 K/9.

The Toronto offense has produced 4.5 runs per outing, including 4.6 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team has hit .303/.351/.511 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Right fielder Kevin Pillar and first baseman Justin Smoak have led the Blue Jays’ batters this year. Pillar is hitting .249/.277/.416 with 12 home runs, 52 RBIs, 56 runs and 14 stolen bases, and Smoak’s line is .246/.354/.464 with 23 homers, 71 RBIs and 62 runs.

The Blue Jays have gained 7.3 units and are 41-54 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 50 of those games, compared to 41 that’ve hit the under against righty starters.

Cleveland Indians vs. Toronto Blue Jays Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Indians, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • The over has hit in three of Cleveland’s last seven contests.
  • The Indians have won four of their last five games SU.
  • Toronto has posted 23.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 27.8 over its last five.
  • Each team has hit 12 home runs over its last 10 games.