Cleveland Indians vs. Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Minnesota Twins will go for their fourth straight victory as they play host to the Cleveland Indians at Hiram Bithorn Stadium. The action can be viewed across the country on Fox Sports One and the first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET.

Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins Odds

Minnesota (+185) is coming into this one as the underdog against Cleveland (-200) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 7.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. You can also bet on the game’s runline with the odds standing at Indians -1.5 runs (-140) and Twins +1.5 runs (+120).

The Indians have gone 8-6 SU this year and are 5-9 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline in this young season and 5.0 units ATS. Cleveland has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Twins, on the other hand, are 7-4 SU and 9-2 ATS. The team has gained 3.5 units for moneyline bettors and 7.2 units ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Twins games have an over/under record of 4-7 so far in 2018. The Indians have an over/under record of 5-9.

Corey Kluber (1-1, 1.57 ERA) will get the nod for the visiting Indians. The right-handed Kluber recorded 265 strikeouts in 203 innings last year (with only 36 walks) while finishing the season 18-4 overall with a 2.25 ERA and a 0.87 WHIP.

The Twins are rolling with righty Jake Odorizzi (1-0, 2.20 ERA) as their starter. Odorizzi started 28 games last year while finishing the season 10-8 overall with a 4.14 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP.

As a unit, Minnesota’s pitching staff has allowed 3.4 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have an ERA of 2.97, a WHIP of 1.24 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.2. The bullpen has a 3.52 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In one divisional games, Twins starters have an ERA of 0.00 and the bullpen’s ERA is 0.00.

The Minnesota offense is putting up 4.6 runs per outing, including 4.2 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .238/.346/.360 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

First baseman Joe Mauer and second baseman Brian Dozier have led the Twins’ offense so far. Mauer is slashing .412/.545/.529 with 14 hits, six RBIs and six runs scored, while Dozier is batting .289 with 13 hits, six RBIs and 12 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Cleveland’s pitchers have allowed 3.2 runs per game and its starters own a 3.06 ERA, 1.05 WHIP and 8.15 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.32, along with a K-per-9 of 8.76.

The Indians offense has slashed .200/.281/.326 on its way to 3.5 runs scored per game this season, including 3.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

Outfielders Tyler Naquin and Lonnie Chisenhall have led Cleveland’s hitters. Naquin is hitting .280/.333/.400 with seven hits, four RBIs and three runs scored, while Chisenhall is hitting .235/.381/.294 with four hits, zero RBIs and three runs scored.

The Indians have lost 3.9 units and are 4-5 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in four of those games, compared to five that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Twins have netted 0.9 units and are 7-2 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in four of those games, compared to five that’ve gone under.

Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Indians, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The Indians have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.
  • Cleveland has recorded 16.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 22.4 over its last five.