Cleveland Indians vs. Milwaukee Brewers Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Cleveland Indians will head west to square off against the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. SportsTime Ohio will be showing this interleague matchup. The game is slated to get underway at 7:40 p.m. ET.

Cleveland Indians at Milwaukee Brewers Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Milwaukee (+185) as the underdog to Cleveland (-200). The total sits at 8 runs and bettors can take the over or the under for -110. Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the most recent runline odds standing at -140 for the Indians -1.5 runs and +120 for the Brewers +1.5 runs.

The Indians have gone 17-17 SU this year and are 13-21 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 7.2 units for moneyline bettors over the early part of the season and 9.8 units ATS. Cleveland is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in six of those seven. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 20-15 SU and 19-16 ATS. The teams gained 5.3 units for moneyline bettors and 2.3 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.

Milwaukee games have a 13-21-1 over/under record so far in 2018. Indians games have gone over 18 times, gone under 16 times and pushed on zero instances.

Corey Kluber is getting the start for the visiting Indians. The right-handed Kluber is 5-1 with a 2.41 ERA and 53 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Brewers will turn to lefty Wade Miley (1-0, 1.50 ERA), who has four punchouts and three walks as well as a WHIP of 1.00. Miley made two starts against the team in 2017, posting a 0-2 record in 2017, compiling a 0-2 record with a 6.75 ERA.

Cleveland’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 3.52 ERA, 1.07 WHIP and 8.40 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.51, along with a WHIP of 1.07.

The Indians offense has slashed .241/.311/.417 on its way to 4.6 runs scored per game in 2018, including 6.9 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 7.2 per game over the teams last five outings (1-4 SU).

Third baseman Jose Ramirez and shortstop Francisco Lindor have led Cleveland’s hitters. Ramirez is slashing .285/.376/.562 with nine home runs, 21 RBIs and 21 runs scored, while Lindor (.283/.350/.517) is up to eight homers, 20 RBIs, 26 runs and five stolen bases.

Ramirez seemed to enjoy hitting left-handed pitching on the road last season, maintaining a slash line of .356/.397/.695 across 126 such plate appearances (compared to his overall season line of .318/.374/.583).

For the home team, Milwaukee’s pitchers have given up 3.8 runs per game overall in 2018. The teams starting pitching staff has a 3.97 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 6.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.59, a WHIP of 1.14 and a K/9 of 10.5.

The Milwaukee hitters are putting up 3.8 runs per outing, including 2.7 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .247/.306/.416 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Lorenzo Cain and Eric Thames have led the Brewers hitters this year. Cain is slashing .267/.381/.431 with four home runs, 10 RBIs, 19 runs and eight stolen bases, while the line for Thames stands at .250/.351/.625 with seven homers, 13 RBIs and 11 runs.

The Indians have gained 0.6 units and are 5-7 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in seven of those games, compared to five that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 4.3 units and are 15-11 ATS when facing a righty starter. The overs hit in nine of those games, compared to 16 that went under.

Cleveland Indians vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Indians, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The Indians have lost four of their last five games SU.
  • Cleveland has posted 27.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 27.2 over its last five.
  • The Indians have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit eight over their last 10.