Cleveland Indians vs. Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Cleveland Indians will pay a visit to Detroit to face off against their AL Central rival Tigers at Comerica Park. SportsTime Ohio will broadcast the action and the first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET.

Cleveland Indians vs. Detroit Tigers Odds

Detroit (+195) is coming into this one as the underdog against Cleveland (-215) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs (-110 for both the over and the under). Runline odds stand at -145 for betting the Indians -1.5 runs and +125 for the Tigers +1.5.

The Indians are 20-19 SU and have gone 15-23 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 9.3 units for moneyline gamblers through the early portions of the season and 10.2 units ATS. The Tigers, on the other hand, are 17-22 SU and 21-17 ATS. They’ve lost 2.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 0.0 units ATS.

Tigers games have a 16-21-1 over/under record so far in 2018. The Indians have an over/under record of 19-18-1.

Carlos Carrasco will get the nod for Cleveland. The right-handed Carrasco is 5-1 with a 3.61 ERA and 53 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with six strikeouts and a 1.00 ERA against Detroit this year (six starts).

The Tigers are turning to righty Mike Fiers (3-2, 4.73 ERA), who has 21 strikeouts and five walks as well as a WHIP of 1.30. Fiers has yet to face the Indians this year, but he made two starts against them in 2017, putting together a 0-1 record with a 2.61 ERA and six strikeouts.

Cleveland’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 3.44 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 8.33 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.26, along with a WHIP of 1.09.

The Indians offense has slashed .247/.318/.437 on its way to 4.9 runs scored per game this year, including 4.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.8 per game over the teams last five contests (3-2 SU).

Shortstop Francisco Lindor and third baseman Jose Ramirez have led Cleveland’s offense. Lindor is slashing .321/.388/.624 with 12 home runs, 25 RBIs, 34 runs and five stolen bases, while Ramirez (.287/.378/.600) has produced 12 homers, 27 RBIs, 26 runs and six stolen bases.

Lindor didn’t seem to enjoy hitting against right-handed pitchers on the road last season. Across 241 such plate appearances, he put up a slash line of .220/.270/.439 (his overall season line was .273/.337/.505).

For the home team, Detroit’s pitching staff has allowed 4.7 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 4.16 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.48 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 8.3 K/9. In 17 games against divisional foes, Tigers starters have an ERA of 3.49 and the bullpens ERA is 3.59.

The Detroit offense has produced 4.4 runs per contest, including 3.6 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .286/.342/.474 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Right fielder Nicholas Castellanos and third baseman Jeimer Candelario have led the Tigers hitters so far. Castellanos is hitting .326/.386/.500 with three home runs, 23 RBIs and 20 runs scored, while Candelario’s line is .272/.359/.497 with five homers, 16 RBIs and 21 runs.

Candelario appeared to enjoy facing right-handed pitching at home last season, slashing .365/.468/.538 over 62 such plate appearances (compared to his total season line of .283/.359/.425).

The Indians have lost 8.2 units and are 10-15 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 12 of those games, compared to 12 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Tigers have lost 3.2 units and are 16-14 ATS when facing a righty starter. The overs hit in 10 of those games, compared to 19 that went under the total.

Cleveland Indians vs. Detroit Tigers Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Indians, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in three of Cleveland’s last seven games.
  • Detroit has recorded 26.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.0 over its last five.
  • The Indians have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games, including 12 over their last five.