Cleveland Indians vs. Chicago White Sox Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Cleveland Indians will square off against their divisional rival Chicago White Sox at Guaranteed Rate Field. SportsTime Ohio will be showing the matchup and the game will get underway at 8:10 p.m. ET.

Cleveland Indians vs. Chicago White Sox Odds

Chicago (+170) is the home-team underdog to Cleveland (-180) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this game at 9 runs (+110 for the over and -130 for the under). The games most recent runline odds sit at -125 for taking the Indians -1.5 runs and +105 for the White Sox +1.5.

The White Sox are just 23-42 SU and 33-31 ATS. They’ve lost 13.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.8 units against the spread (ATS). The Indians have gone 35-30 SU this year and are 29-35 ATS. In total, the teams lost 6.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 10.0 units ATS.

White Sox games have had an over/under record of 26-33-5 so far in 2018. The Indians have been a decent over bet with a total record of 34-28-2.

Trevor Bauer will get the start for the visiting Indians. The right-handed Bauer is 5-4 with a 2.62 ERA and 109 strikeouts. He has yet to face Chicago this year, but he made two starts against the White Sox in 2017, putting together a 2-0 record against them with a 2.19 ERA and 16 strikeouts.

The White Sox are sending righty Dylan Covey (2-1, 2.22 ERA) to the mound. Covey has 28 punchouts and 11 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.27. Covey is 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 4.15 ERA against Cleveland this year.

Chicago’s pitching staff has yielded 5.1 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 5.26, a WHIP of 1.46 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 6.3. The bullpen has a 3.85 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 9.3 K/9. In 27 games against AL Central foes, White Sox starters have an ERA of 4.91 and the bullpens ERA is 3.29.

Chicago’s hitters are putting up 3.9 runs per contest, including 4.2 per game against divisional foes and 2.6 per game over their last five. The teams hit .190/.273/.291 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.

First baseman Jose Abreu and third baseman Yolmer Sanchez have led the charge for the White Sox hitters this year. Abreu is hitting .286/.345/.504 with 10 home runs, 38 RBIs and 34 runs scored, while Sanchez line is .271/.315/.424 with four homers, 28 RBIs, 26 runs and six stolen bases.

For the visiting squad, Cleveland’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 3.46 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 8.94 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.61, along with a WHIP of 1.13.

The Indians offense has slashed .251/.321/.438 on its way to 4.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the teams last five outings (3-2 SU).

Shortstop Francisco Lindor and third baseman Jose Ramirez have led Cleveland’s hitters. Lindor is slashing .291/.365/.534 with 14 home runs, 35 RBIs, 49 runs and eight stolen bases, while Ramirez is slashing .290/.385/.609 with 19 homers, 44 RBIs, 44 runs and eight stolen bases.

The Indians have lost 6.9 units and are 20-25 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 23 of those games, compared to 20 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the White Sox have lost 11.1 units and are 24-24 ATS when facing a righty starter. The overs hit in 18 of those games, compared to 25 that’ve gone under.

Cleveland Indians at Chicago White Sox MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Indians, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has cashed in five of Cleveland’s last seven games.
  • Chicago has posted 17.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 14.6 over its last five.
  • The Indians have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The White Sox have hit six over their last 10.