Cleveland Indians vs. Baltimore Orioles Free Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Cleveland Indians will be squaring off against the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park. SportsTime Ohio will be airing this AL matchup and the game gets going at 7:05 p.m. ET.

Cleveland Indians at Baltimore Orioles Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Baltimore (+195) as the underdog to Cleveland (-215). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -120 for over eight runs and +100 for under eight. The game’s most recent runline odds stand at -145 for taking the Indians -1.5 runs and +125 for the Orioles +1.5.

The Orioles are just 6-16 SU and 7-14 ATS. They’ve lost 7.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.7 units against the spread (ATS). Baltimore has covered the spread just once in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Indians are 11-8 SU and have gone 7-11 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 1.8 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season and 5.0 units ATS. Clevelandhas covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.

Baltimore games have an over/under record of 8-12-1 so far in 2018. The Indians have been a decent under bet with a total record of 5-13.

The right-handed Carlos Carrasco is the projected starter for the visiting Indians. Carrasco is 3-0 with a 2.60 ERA and 21 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Orioles this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 0.00 ERA and 10 strikeouts over six innings).

The Orioles will turn to righty Kevin Gausman (1-1, 5.57 ERA), who has 19 strikeouts and six walks to his name as well as a WHIP of 1.57. Gausman only made one start against the Indians in 2017 (0-1, 4.76 ERA and nine strikeouts across five and 2-third innings).

Baltimore’s pitching staff has given up 5.5 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 5.27, a WHIP of 1.62 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.5. The bullpen has a 4.54 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 8.1 K/9.

Baltimore’s hitters have produced 3.3 runs per outing, including 3.3 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .216/.274/.438 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that span.

The Orioles’ offense has been led by shortstop Manny Machado and left fielder Trey Mancini. Machado is hitting .356/.434/.713 with eight home runs, 17 RBIs and 13 runs scored, while Mancini’s line sits at .284/.352/.420 with 23 hits, seven RBIs and 10 runs.

Machado performed well against righty pitching at home last season, slashing .286/.355/.534 across 265 such plate appearances (compared to his overall season line of .260/.311/.473).

For the visiting squad, Cleveland’s pitching staff allowed 2.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 2.66 ERA, 0.98 WHIP and 7.63 K/9. The bullpen has logged an excellent ERA of just 2.63, along with a WHIP of 0.98 and a K/9 of 8.94.

Indians hitters have slashed .219/.290/.367 on their way to 3.6 runs scored per game this season, including 4.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Cleveland’s offensive production been led by third baseman Jose Ramirez and left fielder Michael Brantley. Ramirez is slashing .236/.353/.528 with seven home runs, 12 RBIs and 10 runs scored, while Brantley (.348/.375/.500) is up to one homers, eight RBIs and two runs scored.

The Indians have lost 4.3 units and are 6-7 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in four of those games, compared to nine that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 4.2 units and are 4-9 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in four of those games, compared to nine which went under the total.

Cleveland Indians at Baltimore Orioles Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Indians, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The Orioles have lost eight of their last nine games SU.
  • Cleveland has recorded 23.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.0 over its last five.
  • The Indians have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.