Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Cleveland Indians will be taking on their division rival Minnesota Twins at Target Field. SportsTime Ohio will televise the matchup and the game gets underway at 2:10 p.m. ET.

Cleveland Indians vs. Minnesota Twins Odds

Cleveland (-120) is the favorite over Minnesota (+110) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this one at 9 runs (+105 for the under and -125 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the runline odds sitting at +125 for the Indians -1.5 runs and -145 for the Twins +1.5.

The Twins are 24-30 SU and 31-22 ATS. The team has lost 8.4 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 7.0 units against the spread (ATS). The Indians have gone 30-27 SU this year and are 25-31 ATS. In total, the teams lost 6.9 units for moneyline bettors and 9.7 units ATS.

Twins games have had an over/under record of 26-26-1 thus far in 2018. Cleveland has been a decent over bet with a total record of 32-22-2.

Right-hander Mike Clevinger will get the nod for Cleveland. Clevinger is 4-2 with a 3.14 ERA and 61 strikeouts. He has yet to face Minnesota this year, but he made two starts against the Twins in 2017, putting together a 1-2 record against them with a 4.05 ERA and 16 strikeouts.

The Twins will put the ball in the right hand of Kyle Gibson (1-3, 3.57 ERA), who has 66 strikeouts and 28 walks as well as a 1.25 WHIP. Gibson made four starts against the team in 2017, posting a 0-3 record in 2017, posting a 0-3 record with a 4.50 ERA and 10 strikeouts.

As a unit, Minnesota’s pitching staff has given up 4.5 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.29 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.23 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In 16 games against divisional opponents, Twins starters have an ERA of 4.12 and the bullpens ERA is 2.24.

The Minnesota hitters are putting up 4.3 runs per outing, including 5.1 per game against divisional foes and 6.2 per game over their last five. The teams hit .253/.341/.452 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Twins offense has been led by outfielder Eddie Rosario and second baseman Brian Dozier. Rosario is hitting .310/.347/.531 with 10 home runs, 36 RBIs, 33 runs and five steals, and Dozier’s line is .241/.313/.420 with eight homers, 23 RBIs and 34 runs.

Rosario enjoyed batting against righties at home last season, slashing .351/.402/.733 across 209 such plate appearances (his total season line was .290/.328/.507).

In the visiting dugout, Cleveland’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.58 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 8.77 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.92, along with a WHIP of 1.13.

The Indians offense has slashed .255/.325/.443 on its way to 5.0 runs scored per game this year, including 5.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over the teams last five outings (3-2 SU).

Cleveland’s hitters have been led by shortstop Francisco Lindor and third baseman Jose Ramirez, who’ve collectively launched 32 home runs. Lindor is hitting .309/.381/.572 with 14 home runs, 35 RBIs, 44 runs and six steals, while Ramirez (.301/.395/.630) is up to 18 homers, 41 RBIs, 41 runs and seven steals.

The Indians have lost 7.6 units and are 16-21 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 21 of those games, as opposed to 14 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Twins have lost 6.7 units and are 22-17 ATS when facing a righty starter. The overs hit in 21 of those games, compared to 17 that went under.

Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has hit in four of Minnesota’s last seven games.
  • Cleveland has posted 27.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 27.6 over its last five.
  • The Indians have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.