Cleveland Indians at Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Cleveland Indians are ready to take on their division rival Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park. The action will begin at 7:10 p.m. ET and SportsTime Ohio will be televising the game.

Cleveland Indians vs. Detroit Tigers Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Detroit (+125) as the underdog to Cleveland (-135). Bettors can gamble on the games total with odds sitting at -105 for over 9.5 runs and -115 for under 9.5. Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the runline odds standing at +110 for the Indians -1.5 runs and -130 for the Tigers +1.5.

The Tigers are 18-22 SU and 22-17 ATS. The teams lost 0.8 units for moneyline bettors while earning 1.3 units against the spread (ATS). The Indians are 20-20 SU and have gone 16-23 ATS. Overall, the teams lost 8.3 units for moneyline bettors over the early portions of the year and 9.2 units ATS.

Tigers games have an over/under record of 17-21-1 so far in 2018. Indians games have gone over 20 times, gone under 18 times and pushed on one occasion.

Josh Tomlin is getting the nod for the visiting Indians. The right-handed Tomlin is 0-4 with an 8.06 ERA and 14 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Detroit this year (two starts).

The Tigers will send lefty Francisco Liriano (3-1, 3.35 ERA) to the mound. Liriano has 29 strikeouts and 20 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.17. Liriano is 0-1 with four strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA in one start against Cleveland this year.

Cleveland’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.45 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 8.25 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.45, along with a K/9 of 9.28.

The Indians offense has slashed .246/.316/.435 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game this season, including 4.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 7.0 per game over the teams last five outings (3-2 SU).

Shortstop Francisco Lindor and third baseman Jose Ramirez have led Cleveland’s offense. Lindor is slashing .318/.383/.612 with 12 home runs, 26 RBIs, 34 runs and five stolen bases, while Ramirez is hitting .288 with 13 homers, 28 RBIs, 28 runs and six steals.

Putting up a slash line of .356/.397/.695 across 126 plate appearances, Ramirez thrived hitting against lefties on the road in 2017 (his total season line was .318/.374/.583).

In the other dugout, Detroit’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.08, a WHIP of 1.25 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.3. The bullpen has a 4.45 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 8.3 K/9. In 18 games against divisional opponents, Tigers starters have an ERA of 3.36 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.56.

The Detroit hitters have produced 4.5 runs per outing, including 3.8 per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over their last five. The team has hit .283/.340/.457 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Tigers batters have been led by right fielder Nicholas Castellanos and third baseman Jeimer Candelario. Castellanos is hitting .326/.386/.500 with three home runs, 23 RBIs and 20 runs scored, while Candelario’s line is .272/.359/.497 with five homers, 16 RBIs and 21 runs.

Candelario enjoyed batting against righty pitching at home in 2017, slashing .365/.468/.538 over 62 such plate appearances (compared to his overall season line of .283/.359/.425).

The Indians have lost 0.1 units and are 6-8 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in eight of those games, compared to six that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Tigers have lost 3.2 units and are 16-14 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 10 of those games, compared to 19 that went under the total.

Cleveland Indians vs. Detroit Tigers Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Indians, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has cashed in four of Detroit’s last seven games.
  • The Cleveland defense has allowed 12 errors over the last 10 games, compared to seven errors for Detroit over its last 10.
  • The Indians have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games, including 11 over their last five.