Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Cleveland Indians will head west to take on their AL Central foe Minnesota Twins at Target Field. The action begins at 1:10 p.m. ET and fans can watch the game on FB.

Cleveland Indians vs. Minnesota Twins Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Minnesota (+165) as the underdog to Cleveland (-175). Gamblers can bet on the games total with odds posted at -110 for over 9 runs and -110 for under 9. Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the current runline odds sitting at -120 for the Indians -1.5 runs and +100 for the Twins +1.5.

The Indians have gone 56-47 SU this year and are 50-55 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 16.4 units for moneyline gamblers and 10.8 units ATS. The Twins, on the other hand, are 48-55 SU and 59-46 ATS. The teams lost 9.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 10.5 units ATS.

Minnesota games have a 50-52-3 over/under record in 2018. The Indians have been a decent over bet with a total record of 55-46-4.

Carlos Carrasco will get the nod for Cleveland. The right-handed Carrasco is 12-5 with a 3.89 ERA and 128 strikeouts. He’s 0-2 with 11 strikeouts and a 7.50 ERA against Minnesota this year (three starts).

The Twins will put the ball in the right hand of Lance Lynn (7-8, 5.10 ERA, 1.63 WHIP), who has 100 strikeouts and 62 walks. Lynn is 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA in one start against Cleveland this year.

Cleveland’s pitching staff allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.53 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 9.39 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.08, along with a K/9 of 8.68.

Indians hitters have slashed .257/.329/.441 on their way to 5.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over the teams last five contests (2-3 SU).

Cleveland’s offensive production has been sparked by shortstop Francisco Lindor and outfielder Michael Brantley, who collectively have blasted 39 home runs. Lindor is hitting .292/.368/.567 with 27 home runs, 66 RBIs, 90 runs and 15 stolen bases, while Brantley (.304/.349/.476) is up to 12 homers, 57 RBIs and 58 runs scored.

For the home team, Minnesota’s pitchers have given up 4.7 runs per game overall in 2018. The teams starters have an ERA of 4.32, a WHIP of 1.34 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.6. The bullpen has a 4.78 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 9.5 K/9. In 36 divisional games, Twins starters have an ERA of 4.32 and the bullpens ERA is 2.85.

The Minnesota offense has put up 4.5 runs per contest, including 4.5 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over its last five. The team has hit .251/.324/.374 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Twins hitters have been led by left fielder Eddie Rosario and shortstop Eduardo Escobar. Rosario is hitting .306/.348/.513 with 19 home runs, 64 RBIs and 69 runs scored, and Escobar’s line is .274/.338/.514 with 15 homers, 63 RBIs and 45 runs scored.

The Twins have lost 5.7 units and are 40-35 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 39 of those games, compared to 34 that’ve hit the under against righty starters.

Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Indians, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • The over has cashed in just two of Minnesota’s last seven games.
  • Cleveland fielders have seven errors over the last 10 games, compared to two errors for Minnesota over its last 10.
  • The Indians have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Twins have hit seven over their last 10.