Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Chicago Bulls ATS Prediction

Jose VasquezArticles, Basketball, NBA

The Chicago Bulls (3-9) welcome the Cleveland Cavaliers (1-10) to United Center. The Cavaliers are 5-point underdogs and look to end a five-game road losing streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 213 points and it can be seen on WGN Channel 9 at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 10, 2018.

Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Chicago Bulls ATS Odds

Both teams fell in their last matchup. The Cavaliers (6.5-point underdogs) were defeated by the Oklahoma City Thunder, 95-86, while the Bulls (11-point underdogs) fell to the New Orleans Pelicans, 107-98. The Cleveland game went 35 points under the projected point total of 216, while the Chicago game finished 22.5 points under the projected point total of 227.5.

Cleveland held Oklahoma City to an offensive rebounding percentage of 15.2 (below their season average of 26.6) while Chicago had a better turnover percentage (9.6 vs. 12.9). Chicago received a boost from Jabari Parker, who contributed 20 points and 13 rebounds. Tristan Thompson had a good game for Cleveland, recording 10 points and 15 rebounds.

The Cavaliers dominated this series last year, winning all four contests. In the most recent contest, Cleveland won 114-109. Cleveland had a better free throw rate (0.149 vs. 0.121). Chicago, meanwhile, had a better turnover percentage (10.9 vs. 11.9). This is the first time these teams will clash this year.

Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Cavaliers games, with 6 unders compared to 5 overs. Cleveland holds records of 1-10 straight up (SU) and 5-6 against the spread (ATS).

Vegas has a tendency to set the total high when the Bulls are involved, as 58.3 percent of their games have gone under the total. Although Chicago struggles winning games outright (3-9 SU), they have a superb record ATS (8-4).

Wendell Carter Jr. has taken his game to another level recently for Chicago, averaging 15.8 points, 9.8 rebounds, 3.6 assists, 2.0 blocks and 1.4 steals over the last five games.

Chicago may have trouble getting to the foul line in this contest. The Bulls rank 22nd in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.194, while Cleveland ranks sixth in FTA rate allowed (0.189). Moreover, the Cavaliers, who rank third in offensive rebounding percentage (26.5 percent), will clash against the Bulls, who rank 27th in defensive rebounding percentage (73.4 percent).

Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Chicago Bulls Odds Pick

Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Bulls, ATS Winner – Bulls, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Bulls average 11.9 fast break points per game, which ranks 18th in the league. The Cavaliers rank 20th in fast break points allowed per game (15.4).
  • Cleveland ranks eighth in second chance points per game (14.7) while Chicago ranks 29th (9.3).
  • The Cavaliers rank 18th in points off turnovers per game (15.8) while the Bulls rank 27th (13.8).
  • Chicago ranks 19th in assists per game (22.8) while Cleveland ranks 27th (20.3).
  • Chicago averages 45.8 points in the paint per game, which ranks 18th in the NBA. Cleveland ranks 21st in points allowed in the paint per game (52.0).
  • The Cavaliers rank sixth in rebounds allowed per game (41.8) while the Bulls rank 26th (49.0).
  • The Bulls rank 13th in blocks per game (5.6) while the Cavaliers rank 19th in blocks allowed per game (6.0).
  • Cleveland ranks 13th in steals per game (7.6) while Chicago ranks 14th in steals allowed per game (7.9).
  • Chicago ranks 20th in three pointers attempted per game (29.9) while Cleveland ranks last (23.5).
  • When holding opponents under 100 points, Cleveland is 0-1 and Chicago is 1-1.
  • The Cavaliers are 1-6 when they reach 100 points, while the Bulls are 2-7.
  • Cleveland is 4-1 ATS on the road, while Chicago is 5-1 ATS at home.
  • The Cavaliers have 3 unders and 2 overs in 5 road games.
  • The Bulls have 4 unders and 2 overs in 6 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Cleveland and Chicago have both had 4 unders and 1 over.
  • The Bulls are 5-0 ATS over their last five games, while the Cavaliers are 2-3.
  • During their last five games, the Bulls have scored an average of 102.8 points per game (4.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 106.6 points per game (7.7 below their season average).
  • The Cavaliers’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 8.0, down from 10.6 for the season.