Cleveland Cavaliers at Golden State Warriors ATS Prediction

Jose VasquezArticles, Basketball, NBA

The Cleveland Cavaliers (0-1), 11.5-point underdogs, will travel to ORACLE Arena to challenge the Golden State Warriors (1-0) in game two of the NBA Finals. The games Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 215.5 points and it can be seen on ABC at 8 p.m. ET on Sunday, June 3, 2018.

Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Golden State Warriors Betting Odds

In game one, Durant led the Warriors to a 124-114 win. He produced 26 points, nine rebounds and six assists. The two teams combined for 238 points, which was well over the projected point total of 218, and Golden State was unable to cover as a 13-point favorite. The Warriors 6.6 turnover percentage was their biggest strength over the Cavaliers, who had a mark of 9.2.

The prolific offense of Golden State will face off against the bottom-tier defense of Cleveland. The Warriors currently rank first in offensive efficiency, while the Cavaliers are 28th in defensive efficiency. The Warriors figure to have the edge on that side of the ball.

Games including the Cavaliers have a slight tendency to finish under the O/U total (50.5 percent). Cleveland is 62-39 straight up (SU), but they have a hard time covering the spread (41-58-2 against the spread (ATS)).

Coinciding with Cleveland, a little over half of Warriors games have finished under the O/U total. Golden State is 71-29 SU, but they are just 42-55-3 ATS.

The Cavaliers are 13-8 ATS with 11 unders, nine overs and one push in the playoffs. The Warriors, meanwhile, are 14-10 with 14 unders, nine overs and one push,

Draymond Green has been on fire recently for Golden State, averaging 13.6 rebounds, 9.4 points, 6.4 assists, 2.0 steals and 1.6 blocks over the last five games.

Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Golden State Warriors Pick

Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Cavaliers, ATS Winner – Cavaliers, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Cavaliers rank 14th in second chance points allowed per game (12.7) while the Warriors rank 25th (13.3).
  • Golden State averages 28.7 assists per game, which ranks first in the NBA. Cleveland ranks 27th in assists allowed per game (25.1).
  • The Warriors rank fifth in points off turnovers per game (17.4) while the Cavaliers rank 21st (15.7).
  • Golden State ranks 15th in three pointers attempted per game (29.3) while Cleveland ranks 28th in three pointers allowed per game (31.1).
  • Golden State ranks 13th in rebounds per game (43.9) while Cleveland ranks 25th (41.9).
  • The Warriors rank first in blocks per game (7.1) while the Cavaliers rank 26th (3.9).
  • The Warriors rank first in fast break points per game (18.9) while the Cavaliers rank 14th (11.9).
  • Golden State ranks eighth in steals per game (8.1) while Cleveland ranks 26th (6.9).
  • Cleveland is 22-6 when they allow less than 100 points, while Golden State is 22-7.
  • The Warriors are 67-17 when they score more than 100 points, while the Cavaliers are 58-19.
  • Cleveland is 24-26-1 ATS on the road, while Golden State is 20-29-2 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone over in 26 of the Cavaliers 51 road games, while 26 of the Warriors 51 home games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Warriors are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Cleveland has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Golden State has 4 unders and 1 over.
  • During their last five games, the Cavaliers have scored an average of 100.8 points per game (8.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 100.0 points per game (8.3 below their season average).
  • The Warriors average margin of victory in their last five games has been 8.2, up from 6.5 for the season.