Clemson Tigers vs. Florida State Seminoles: 10/27/2018 Free Pick

betdsiCollege Football, Football

The No. 2 Clemson Tigers (-15) are heading south to visit their ACC foe Florida State Seminoles at Bobby Bowden Field at Doak Campbell Stadium. ABC has the TV rights and this crucial daytime game is scheduled to get underway at 12:00 p.m. ET.

Betting Preview: Florida State Seminoles vs. Clemson Tigers

Florida State enters this ACC game as a significant underdog and is currently getting 15 points. The Tigers are also receiving -840 moneyline odds while the Seminoles are +550. If one program can create a bunch of points early it’ll produce a decent betting scenario in-game. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 51 points.

The Tigers are 3-4 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 3.0 units so far in 2018. The team has recorded an O/U mark of 3-3.

The Seminoles have lost 3.0 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 3-4 ATS and have an O/U record of 4-3.

The Tigers are 7-0 straight up (SU), including 4-0 SU against ACC opponents. The Seminoles are 4-3 SU overall and 2-3 SU in conference play.

The Tigers are looking to remain undefeated following a 41-7 win over North Carolina State last week. the Tigers completed 32-of-48 passes for 380 yards and one touchdown. Trevor Lawrence went 26-for-39 for 308 yards and one touchdown while Chase Brice completed six-of-nine for 72 yards. Travis Etienne (39 yards on 15 rush attempts, three TDs) led the ground attack. Tee Higgins (eight receptions, 119 yards, one TD) and Justyn Ross (five catches, 75 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.

Florida State enters this one after just earning a 38-17 win over Wake Forest. Deondre Francois completed 29-of-40 passes for 353 yards and two touchdowns. Cam Akers (98 yards on 13 rush attempts, two TDs) and Jacques Patrick (21 yards on 11 carries, one TD) mounted the running game as Nyqwan Murray (eight receptions, 131 yards, one TD) and D.J. Matthews (five catches, 40 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the win.

Clemson has run the ball on 54.4 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Florida State has an overall rush percentage of 48.6 percent. The Tigers have run for 253.7 yards/game (including 275.8 per game versus Atlantic Coast opponents) and have 23 scores on the ground this year. The Noles are logging 98.4 rushing yards per game (86.8 in conference) and have seven total rush TDs.

The Tigers offense has logged 268.7 yards per contest in the air overall (253.8 per game versus conference opposition) and has 15 passing scores so far. The Noles have put up 265.7 pass yards per contest (238 against ACC foes) and have 13 total pass TDs.

On the defensive side of the ball, Clemson seems to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed 107.7 rush yards and 158.6 pass yards per game. The Florida State defense has allowed 271.3 yards per game to opposing passers and 100.4 yards per game to opposing runners. The Tigers are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 4.78 to opponents, while the Noles have given up a 5.45 ANY/A.

Lawrence has been more productive than Francois of late, as his adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 9.21for the season (and 7.60 over the past two games). Francois’ ANY/A is 7.22 for the season and 6.37 across his last two games.

These two schools faced off last year with the final result being a 31-14 win for Clemson.

Clemson Tigers vs. Florida State Seminoles Betting Pick

SU Winner: Tigers, ATS Winner: Tigers, O/U: Under

Team Betting Notes,

  • The O/U for Clemson’s last game was 57. The under cashed in the team’s 41-7 win over North Carolina State.
  • Clemson, as a team, has rushed for 6.8 yards per attempt over its past three contests and 7.8 over its last two.
  • Florida State has averaged 3.0 yards per carry over its last three outings and 3.3 over its last two.
  • Florida State has lost nine fumbles this season while Clemson has lost five.
  • In its last three games, Clemson is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • The Over/Under for Florida State’s previous matchup was 59. The under cashed in the team’s 38-17 win over Wake Forest.
  • In its last three matches, Florida State is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • Florida State has won four of its last five games SU, with a -1-point defeat to Miami (FL) on October 6th representing its lone loss over that stretch.
  • The Tigers offense has produced 11 pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Seminoles have accounted for three such plays.
  • The Clemson defense has allowed three pass plays of 40+ yards, while Florida State has given up eight such plays.
  • The Clemson offense has created 19 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Florida State has created four such runs.
  • The Tigers defense has allowed nine rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Seminoles have given up four such runs.
  • The Florida State defensive unit has recorded 24 sacks on the year while Clemson has 21.