Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals Free Preview

Jonathan GarosBaseball, MLB

The Cincinnati Reds will pay a visit to Nationals Park to face the Washington Nationals. This NL matchup will begin at 7:05 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Mid-Atlantic Sports Network to catch the game.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals Odds

Cincinnati (+240) is the underdog against Washington (-275) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this one at 7.5 runs (-115 for the over and -105 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at Reds +1.5 runs (+110) and Nationals -1.5 runs (-130).

The Reds are 47-58 SU and have gone 63-44 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle very much this year, losing 2.2 units for moneyline bettors, despite having gained 8.1 units ATS. The Nationals, on the other hand, are 52-52 SU and 50-56 ATS. The team has lost 19.5 units for moneyline bettors and 9.1 units ATS.

Washington games have an over/under record of 44-60-2 in 2018. Cincinnati has been a decent over bet with a total record of 56-47-4.

The right-handed Tyler Mahle is projected to start for the visiting Reds. Mahle (7-8, 4.53 ERA) has recorded 104 strikeouts in 107.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Nationals this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Nationals will turn to righty Max Scherzer (14-5, 2.30 ERA), who’s got 200 strikeouts and 36 walks to his credit as well as a 0.90 WHIP. Scherzer is 1-0 with 10 strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against Cincinnati this year.

As a unit, Washington’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 3.97 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.64 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 8.7 K/9.

The Washington offense has produced 4.4 runs per outing, including 5.3 per game over its last 10 games and 6.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .258/.356/.449 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Nationals’ batters have been led by shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon. Turner is hitting .267/.338/.412 with 13 home runs, 43 RBIs, 60 runs and 24 steals, while Rendon’s line is .284/.347/.514 with 15 homers, 47 RBIs and 47 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 5.24 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.50 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.13, along with a K/9 of 7.91.

Reds hitters have slashed .258/.341/.404 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game this year, including 3.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Cincinnati’s offensive production has been sparked by second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza. Gennett is slashing .317/.368/.503 with 16 home runs, 65 RBIs and 63 runs scored, while Peraza is hitting .293/.339/.395 with five homers, 35 RBIs, 55 runs and 17 stolen bases.

The Reds have lost 3.2 units and are 46-33 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 39 of those games, as opposed to 37 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 5.7 units and are 39-38 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 31 of those games, as opposed to 45 that’ve gone under.

Cincinnati Reds at Washington Nationals MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends,

  • The over has hit in four of Washington’s last seven games.
  • The Cincinnati defense has allowed two errors over its last five games, compared to five errors for Washington over its last five.
  • The Reds have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.