Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Cincinnati Reds will be squaring off against the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will televise this NL matchup. The opening pitch is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. ET.

Cincinnati Reds at Washington Nationals Odds

Cincinnati (+150) is entering this game as the underdog against Washington (-160) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this game at 9.5 runs. Odds for wagering on the games total sit at -110 for both the over and the under. The games runline odds stand at -145 for picking the Reds +1.5 runs and +125 for the Nationals -1.5.

The Nationals are 56-53 straight up (SU) and 52-56 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 17.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.5 units (ATS). On the other hand, the Reds have gone 48-62 SU this year and are 63-46 ATS. Overall, the teams lost 4.3 units for moneyline bettors, but have gained 6.0 units ATS.

Washington games have an over/under record of 45-61-2 in 2018. Cincinnati has been a good over bet with a total record of 58-47-4.

Right-hander Luis Castillo will get the nod for the visiting Reds. Castillo (6-8, 4.98 ERA) has racked up 110 strikeouts in 115.2 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with six strikeouts and a 10.80 ERA against Washington this year.

The Nationals will turn to righty Tanner Roark (5-12, 4.37 ERA) to the mound. Roark has 116 punchouts and 44 walks to his name, as well as a 1.30 WHIP. Roark hasn’t faced the Reds yet this year, but he made two starts against them in 2017, compiling a 1-1 record with a 4.50 ERA and 12 strikeouts.

Washington’s pitching staff has given up 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The teams starters have a 3.90 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.68 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 8.6 K/9.

The Washington hitters are putting up 4.6 runs per outing, including 7.7 per game over its last 10 games and 9.2 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .322/.426/.579 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that span.

Shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon have paced the Nationals hitters this year. Turner is slashing .269/.341/.416 with 14 home runs, 47 RBIs, 68 runs and 30 stolen bases, and Rendon’s line sits at .291/.351/.526 with 16 homers, 55 RBIs and 50 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.27 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.47 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.14, along with a WHIP of 1.44 and a K-per-9 of 7.89.

Reds hitters have slashed .257/.339/.403 on their way to 4.6 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.0 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 3.0 per game over the teams last five outings (1-4 SU).

Cincinnati’s hitters have been paced by second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza. Gennett is hitting .311/.361/.498 with 17 home runs, 67 RBIs and 65 runs scored, while Peraza (.282/.328/.388) is up to six homers, 38 RBIs, 56 runs and 17 steals.

The Reds have lost 5.3 units and are 46-35 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 41 of those games, compared to 37 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 3.6 units and are 41-38 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 32 of those games, compared to 46 that went under.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has hit in three of Cincinnati’s last seven games.
  • Cincinnati has recorded 20.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 18.6 over its last five.
  • The Reds have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Nationals have hit 15 over their last 10.