Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The San Francisco Giants are set to play host to the Cincinnati Reds at AT&T Park. The game gets underway 10:15 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Ohio is in line to televise this NL matchup.

Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants Odds

Oddsmakers are listing San Francisco (-140) as the favorite over Cincinnati (+130). The total stands at eight runs and bettors can wager on the over for -105 and the under for -115. You can also bet on the games runline with the current odds standing at -170 for the Reds +1.5 runs and +150 for the Giants -1.5.

The Reds are 14-27 SU and have gone 22-18 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 11.2 units for gamblers taking the moneyline through the early portions of the season and 0.7 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Giants, on the other hand, are 20-21 SU and 24-16 ATS. They’ve gained 2.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.5 units ATS. San Francisco has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

San Francisco games have an over/under record of 21-19 so far in 2018. The Reds have been a decent under bet with a total record of 17-23.

Right-hander Sal Romano will get the nod for the visiting Reds. Romano is 2-3 with a 3.83 ERA and 26 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Giants this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Giants are sending righty Chris Stratton (3-3, 4.60 ERA) to the mound. Stratton has 40 strikeouts and 20 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.30. Stratton did not record a start against the Reds in 2017.

San Francisco’s pitchers have given up 4.6 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The teams starters have a 4.37 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.26 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 8.2 K/9.

The San Francisco offense has produced 3.9 runs per outing, including 4.4 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over its last five. The teams hit .261/.319/.432 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

First baseman Brandon Belt and outfielder Andrew McCutchen have led the Giants batters so far. Belt is slashing .286/.396/.496 with six home runs, 18 RBIs and 20 runs scored, while McCutchen is hitting .254 with three homers, 14 RBIs and 23 runs scored.

For the visiting squad, Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 5.08 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 7.11 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.22, along with a WHIP of 1.41 and a K-per-9 of 9.13.

The Reds offense has slashed .244/.325/.378 on its way to 4.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.4 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the teams last five contests (5-0 SU).

Cincinnati’s hitters have been powered by first baseman Joey Votto and second baseman Scooter Gennett, who collectively have swatted 12 home runs. Votto is slashing .288/.413/.445 with six home runs, 23 RBIs and 18 runs scored, while Gennett is hitting .329/.368/.521 with six homers, 24 RBIs and 19 runs scored.

The Reds have lost 8.1 units and are 17-14 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 13 of those games, compared to 18 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Giants have lost 5.2 units and are 11-11 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in nine of those games, compared to 13 that went under.

Cincinnati Reds at San Francisco Giants MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Giants, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The Reds have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Giants have hit 10 over their last 10.
  • San Francisco has recorded 24.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.0 over its last five.