Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Matchup

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The San Diego Padres are set to host the Cincinnati Reds at PETCO Park. Fox Sports San Diego will be airing this NL matchup and the first pitch is scheduled for 8:40 p.m. ET.

Cincinnati Reds at San Diego Padres Odds

Cincinnati (+110) is the underdog to San Diego (-120) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this afternoons game at 8 runs. The odds for wagering on the games total stand at -125 for the over and +105 for the under. The games runline odds sit at -190 for taking the Reds +1.5 runs and +165 for the Padres -1.5.

The Padres are 25-34 SU and 29-29 ATS. They’ve lost 1.4 units for moneyline bettors and 6.9 units against the spread (ATS). San Diego has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Reds are 21-37 SU and have gone 30-27 ATS. In total, the teams lost 11.9 units for moneyline bettors and 6.0 units ATS. Cincinnati is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

San Diego games have a 27-29-2 over/under record so far in 2018. The Reds have been a decent under bet with a total record of 24-31-2.

Matt Harvey is getting the start for the Reds. The right-handed Harvey is 1-3 with a 5.63 ERA and 36 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with a 4.50 ERA against San Diego this year.

The Padres are going with Eric Lauer (1-3, 7.67 ERA), who’s got 28 strikeouts and 15 walks, as well as a WHIP of 2.08. Lauer hasn’t faced the Reds yet this year and did not record any MLB pitching stats last season.

San Diego’s pitching staff has yielded 4.6 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The clubs starters have a 4.96 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.24 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.

San Diego’s hitters are putting up 3.8 runs per contest, including 3.7 per game over its last 10 games and 4.8 per game over their last five. The team has hit .239/.315/.374 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Padres batters have been led by left fielder Jose Pirela and first baseman Eric Hosmer. Pirela is slashing .276/.332/.360 with 62 hits, 17 RBIs and 33 runs scored, while Hosmer is batting .276 with six homers, 24 RBIs and 28 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 5.66 ERA, 1.55 WHIP and 7.30 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.99, along with a WHIP of 1.55 and a K-per-9 of 8.49.

Reds hitters have slashed .245/.324/.380 on their way to 4.1 runs scored per game this season, including 4.9 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 4.6 per game over the teams last five contests (2-3 SU).

Cincinnati’s offense has been powered by second baseman Scooter Gennett and first baseman Joey Votto, who collectively have belted 17 home runs. Gennett is slashing .341/.378/.559 with 11 home runs, 39 RBIs and 30 runs scored, while Votto is hitting .292/.412/.426 with six homers, 24 RBIs and 28 runs scored.

The Padres have lost 1.9 units and are 21-18 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 15 of those games, compared to 22 that’ve gone under.

Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The Reds have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit nine over their last 10.
  • San Diego has averaged 18.9 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 outings and 20.4 over its last five.