Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

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The Cincinnati Reds will be taking on their NL Central rival Pittsburgh Pirates in a Saturday showdown. The action starts at 7:05 p.m. ET and fans can catch the game on ATPT and FSOH.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Odds

Cincinnati (-110) is the favorite over Pittsburgh (+100) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this one at 9 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total currently sit at -120 for the over and +100 for the under. Gamblers can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at Reds -1.5 runs (+135) and Pirates +1.5 runs (-155).

The Pirates are 53-75 straight up (SU) and 60-67 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 13.6 units for moneyline bettors and 23.1 units ATS. The Reds are 60-67 SU and have gone 70-56 ATS. In total, the club has lost 3.8 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, but have gained 5.6 units ATS.

Pittsburgh games have an over/under record of 71-50-6 in 2019. The Reds have been a solid under bet with a total record of 48-72-6.

Left-hander Alex Wood is the projected starter for the visiting Reds. Wood is 1-2 with a 5.92 ERA and 21 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Pirates this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (1-0, 1.50 ERA and three strikeouts over six innings).

The Pirates will turn to righty Trevor Williams (5-6, 5.74 ERA), who has 81 strikeouts and 32 walks, in addition to a WHIP of 1.46. Williams is 1-0 with nine strikeouts and a 2.25 ERA over two starts against Cincinnati this year.

As a unit, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has allowed 5.5 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have an ERA of 5.26, a WHIP of 1.43 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.4. The bullpen has a 4.81 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 9.8 K/9. In 59 games against NL Central foes, Pirates starters have an ERA of 5.32 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.82.

The Pittsburgh hitters have put up 4.5 runs per outing, including 4.4 per game against divisional foes and 1.8 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .204/.251/.268 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Right fielder Starling Marte and first baseman Josh Bell have led the Pirates’ batters this year. Marte is hitting .290/.333/.500 with 22 home runs, 73 RBIs, 85 runs and 24 steals, while Bell’s line is .275/.361/.570 with 31 homers, 99 RBIs and 84 runs.

In the other dugout, Cincinnati’s pitching staff allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.97 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.77 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.41, along with a WHIP of 1.26.

Reds hitters have slashed .250/.320/.429 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game this season, including 4.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Cincinnati’s offense has been powered by shortstop Jose Iglesias and third baseman Eugenio Suarez. Iglesias is slashing .294/.323/.421 with nine home runs, 48 RBIs and 52 runs scored, while Suarez is hitting .254/.337/.520 with 34 homers, 78 RBIs and 68 runs scored.

The Reds have lost 1.1 units and are 52-44 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 37 of those games, as opposed to 55 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Pirates have lost 8.7 units and are 13-20 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in 22 of those games, compared to 10 that went under the total.

Reds vs. Pirates MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has cashed in five of Cincinnati’s last seven games.
  • The Reds have an OPS of .749 this season and an OPS of .735 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Pirates’ OPS sits at .741 overall and .760 versus righties.
  • Pittsburgh has recorded 16.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 14.6 over its last five.
  • The Reds have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Pirates have hit five over their last 10.