Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies will play host to the Cincinnati Reds at Citizens Bank Park. Fox Sports Ohio is in line to showcase this NL matchup and the opening pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET.

Cincinnati Reds at Philadelphia Phillies Odds

Cincinnati (+160) is hosting this game as the underdog to Philadelphia (-170) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this game at 8 runs (-115 for the over and -105 for the under). Runline odds stand at -135 for taking the Reds +1.5 runs and +115 for the Phillies -1.5.

The Phillies are 4-5 SU and 2-6 ATS. The team’s lost 3.0 units for moneyline bettors and 5.9 units against the spread (ATS). The Reds have gone 2-7 SU this year and are 3-5 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 3.7 units for moneyline bettors this year and 3.4 units ATS.

Philadelphia games have had an over/under record of 4-3-1 so far in 2018. The Reds have an over/under record of 4-4.

The Reds have lost 1.7 units and are 2-4 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in three of those games, compared to three that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Phillies have lost 5.0 units and are 0-6 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in three of those games, as opposed to two which went under the total.

Right-hander Homer Bailey (0-2, 4.22 ERA) will get the start for the visiting Reds. Bailey started 18 games last year while finishing the season 6-9 overall with a 6.43 ERA and a 1.69 WHIP.

The Phillies are rolling with righty Aaron Nola (0-0, 2.61 ERA) as their starter. Nola struck out 184 hitters over 168 innings last year (27 starts), while finishing the season 12-11 overall with a 3.54 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP.

As a unit, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have a 4.09 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.79 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.1 K/9.

Philadelphia’s offense is putting up 5.3 runs per outing, including 7.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .268/.365/.488 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Outfielder Rhys Hoskins and second baseman Cesar Hernandez have led the Phillies’ batters so far. Hoskins is hitting .429/.553/.821 with 12 hits, nine RBIs and seven runs scored, and Hernandez is batting .313 with 10 hits, two RBIs and six runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 6.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.96 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 5.96 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.97, along with a WHIP of 1.48.

Reds hitters have slashed .242/.325/.352 on their way to 3.3 runs scored per game this year, including over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Third baseman Eugenio Suarez and catcher Tucker Barnhart have led Cincinnati’s offense. Suarez is slashing .296/.424/.630 with eight hits, seven RBIs and five runs scored, while Barnhart (.304/.429/.522) is up to seven hits, two RBIs and three runs scored.

Suarez seemed to take a step back when hitting right-handed pitchers on the road last year. Across 250 such plate appearances, he put up a slash line of .233/.340/.300 (his total season line was .260/.367/.461).

Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The Reds went 4-2 SU against the Phillies last season.
  • The Reds have lost four of their last five games SU while the Phillies have won three of their last four SU.
  • The Reds’ bullpen managed 1.33 ERA against the Phillies last year.