Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, College Basketball

The Cincinnati Reds will be squaring off against the New York Mets at Citi Field. The first pitch is scheduled for 12:10 p.m. ET and SportsNet New York will broadcast this NL matchup.

Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets Odds

The Reds have gone 48-64 SU this year and are 65-48 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 5.5 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, despite having gained 5.3 units ATS. The Mets, on the other hand, are 46-64 SU and 50-59 ATS. The team has lost 20.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 15.3 units ATS.

New York games have had an over/under record of 47-57-5 in 2018. Cincinnati has been a decent over bet with a total record of 59-50-4.

Tyler Mahle is getting the start for Cincinnati. The right-handed Mahle is 7-9 with a 4.95 ERA and 105 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mets this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 6.75 ERA and two strikeouts across four innings).

The Mets are putting the ball in the right hand of Jacob deGrom (5-7, 1.85 ERA, 0.97 WHIP), who has 173 strikeouts and 33 walks this season. deGrom made two starts against the Reds in 2017, compiling a 0-1 record with a 3.75 ERA and 15 strikeouts.

Cincinnati’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 5.30 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 7.44 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.09, along with a WHIP of 1.45.

Reds hitters have slashed .256/.337/.400 on their way to 4.6 runs scored per game this season, including 3.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (0-5 SU).

Cincinnati’s offense has been sparked by second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza. Gennett is slashing .311/.362/.494 with 17 home runs, 67 RBIs and 65 runs scored, while Peraza (.279/.323/.382) is up to six homers, 39 RBIs, 57 runs and 17 stolen bases.

In the home-team dugout, New York’s pitchers have given up 4.7 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have an ERA of 4.05, a WHIP of 1.26 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.0. The bullpen has a 4.93 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 8.4 K/9.

The New York offense has produced 3.9 runs per outing, including 2.8 per game over its last 10 games and 3.2 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .253/.311/.373 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and outfielder Michael Conforto have led the Mets’ batters this year. Cabrera is slashing .277/.329/.488 with 18 home runs, 58 RBIs and 48 runs scored, and Conforto’s line is .235/.350/.397 with 14 homers, 39 RBIs and 45 runs.

The Reds have lost 8.3 units and are 47-37 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 42 of those games, as opposed to 39 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 13.4 units and are 37-44 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 35 of those games, compared to 41 that’ve gone under.

Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • The over has cashed in three of Cincinnati’s last seven games.
  • Cincinnati has posted 19.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 18.2 over its last five.
  • The Reds have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit 11 over their last 10.