Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Milwaukee Brewers are playing host to the Cincinnati Reds at Miller Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin is in line to televise the matchup and the game gets underway at 7:40 p.m. ET.

Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers Odds

Milwaukee (-150) is the favorite over Cincinnati (+140) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs (-125 for the over and +105 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at -155 for the Reds +1.5 runs and +135 for the Brewers -1.5.

The Reds are only 3-13 SU and have gone 7-9 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 9.5 units for moneyline gamblers over the early part of the season and 4.4 units ATS. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 8-9 SU and 8-9 ATS. They’ve lost 0.5 units for moneyline bettors and 2.9 units ATS.

Brewers games have an over/under record of 8-9 so far in 2018. The Reds have an over/under record of 7-9.

Right-hander Sal Romano is the probable starter for the visiting Reds. Romano is 0-1 with a 6.46 ERA and seven strikeouts. He has yet to face Milwaukee this year, but he did make three starts against the Brewers in 2017, compiling a 0-3 record against them with a 7.24 ERA and 15 strikeouts.

The Brewers are turning to righty Junior Guerra (1-0, 1.69 ERA), who has four punchouts and two walks as well as a 1.13 WHIP. Guerra only made one start against the Reds in 2017 (0-1, 14.40 ERA and three strikeouts across five innings).

As a unit, Milwaukee’s pitchers have given up 4.6 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.64, a WHIP of 1.41 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.3. The bullpen has a 3.41 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 10.6 K/9. In 11 games against divisional opponents, Brewers starters have an ERA of 4.79 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.23.

The Milwaukee offense has put up 3.5 runs per contest, including 2.8 per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .226/.286/.399 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Brewers’ batters have been led by Eric Thames, who is hitting .222/.314/.600 with 10 hits, five home runs, seven RBIs and eight runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 6.0 runs per game and its starters own a 5.82 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 6.99 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.72, along with a WHIP of 1.38 and a K/9 of 8.74.

Reds hitters have slashed .233/.311/.339 on their way to 3.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Cincinnati’s offense has been led by Eugenio Suarez, who is slashing .296/.424/.630 with eight hits, seven RBIs and five runs scored. He did not seem to enjoy hitting against right-handed pitchers on the road last season. Across 250 such plate appearances, he put up a slash line of .233/.340/.300 (compared to his overall season line of .260/.367/.461).

The Reds just took the previous game in the series by a score of 10 runs to four.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has hit in three of Milwaukee’s last seven games.
  • The Reds have hit six home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.
  • Milwaukee has recorded 19.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.0 over its last five.
  • The Brewers have lost three of their last four games SU.