Cincinnati Reds vs. Detroit Tigers Matchup

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Detroit Tigers are playing host to the Cincinnati Reds at Comerica Park. Fox Sports Ohio will be showing this interleague matchup. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Detroit Tigers Odds

Detroit (-115) is favored over Cincinnati (+105) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs. The odds for wagering on the games total stand at +100 for the under and -120 for the over. You can also bet on the games runline with the most recent odds sitting at -200 for the Reds +1.5 runs and +170 for the Tigers -1.5.

The Tigers are 55-52 against the spread (ATS), but just 45-61 straight up (SU). The team has lost 0.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.0 units (ATS). Detroit has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the total went over in four of those seven. The Reds are 47-58 SU and have gone 62-44 ATS. Overall, the teams lost 1.2 units for moneyline gamblers, but have gained 7.0 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.

Tigers games have had an over/under record of 43-60-4 in 2018. Cincinnati has been a decent over bet with a total record of 56-46-4.

Homer Bailey will get the start for the visiting Reds. The right-handed Bailey is 1-7 with a 6.29 ERA and 46 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Tigers this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Tigers will put the ball in the left hand of Matthew Boyd (5-9, 4.53 ERA), who’s got 100 punchouts and 38 walks as well as a 1.20 WHIP. Boyd is 0-1 with five strikeouts and an 11.25 ERA in one start against Cincinnati this year.

Detroit’s pitching staff has allowed 4.6 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The clubs starters have a 4.38 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.43 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 7.8 K/9.

The Detroit hitters have put up 3.9 runs per outing, including 3.5 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .232/.291/.369 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Outfielder Nicholas Castellanos and shortstop Jose Iglesias have led the Tigers hitters this year. Castellanos is slashing .294/.347/.500 with 15 home runs, 57 RBIs and 57 runs scored, and Iglesias is hitting .266 with four homers, 41 RBIs, 33 runs and 13 steals.

For the visiting squad, Cincinnati’s pitching staff allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 5.24 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.50 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.13, along with a K/9 of 7.91.

The Reds offense has slashed .258/.341/.404 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game this season, including 3.6 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the teams last five outings (3-2 SU).

Second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza have paced Cincinnati’s offense. Gennett is slashing .317/.368/.503 with 16 home runs, 65 RBIs and 63 runs scored, while Peraza is slashing .293/.339/.395 with five homers, 35 RBIs, 55 runs and 17 steals.

The Reds have gained 2.0 units and are 16-11 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 17 of those games, as opposed to nine that’ve hit the under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Tigers have lost 9.8 units and are 36-42 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 29 of those games, compared to 46 that’ve gone under.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Detroit Tigers Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Tigers, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has hit in just two of Detroit’s last seven games.
  • Each team has hit 10 home runs over its last 10 games.
  • Detroit has recorded 16.5 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20.0 over its last five.