Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Indians Free Pick

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The Cincinnati Reds are preparing to face off against the Cleveland Indians in a Wednesday showdown. Fox Sports Ohio will televise this interleague matchup and the game gets underway at 1:10 p.m. ET.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Indians Odds

Cincinnati (receiving +115) is the underdog to Cleveland (-125) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this game at 9 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total now sit at -120 for the over and +100 for the under. The game’s most recent runline odds stand at -180 for betting the Reds +1.5 runs and +160 for the Indians -1.5.

The Indians are 34-32 straight up (SU) and 30-35 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 8.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.2 units ATS. The Reds have gone 29-36 SU this year and are 35-29 ATS. In total, the club has lost 4.6 units for moneyline bettors, but have gained 1.1 units ATS.

Indians games have an over/under record of 28-36-1 so far in 2019. Cincinnati has also been a strong under bet with a total record of 23-39-2.

The right-handed Anthony DeSclafani is the probable starter for the visiting Reds. DeSclafani (2-3, 4.70 ERA) has recorded 62 strikeouts in 59.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Indians this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (1-0, 1.29 ERA and three strikeouts across seven innings).

The Indians are handing the ball to Zach Plesac (1-1, 1.86 ERA), who has 14 punchouts and three walks, along with a WHIP of 0.88. Plesac did not record any MLB appearances in 2018.

As a unit, Cleveland’s pitching staff has yielded 4.2 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have a 4.35 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.21 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.

The Cleveland hitters are putting up 4.1 runs per outing, including 4.5 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .218/.275/.479 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

First baseman Carlos Santana and shortstop Francisco Lindor have led the Indians’ offense this year. Santana is hitting .286/.404/.519 with 13 home runs, 41 RBIs and 41 runs scored, while Lindor’s line is .303/.371/.546 with 11 homers, 24 RBIs, 31 runs and seven stolen bases.

For the visiting squad, Cincinnati’s pitching staff allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.64 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.71 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.55, along with a WHIP of 1.24.

Reds hitters have slashed .232/.304/.399 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game this season, including 2.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 1.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Cincinnati’s offensive production has been led by third baseman Eugenio Suarez and shortstop Jose Iglesias. Suarez is slashing .261/.336/.492 with 14 home runs, 41 RBIs and 32 runs scored, while Iglesias is slashing .293/.338/.413 with four homers, 22 RBIs and 27 runs scored.

The Indians have lost 9.8 units and are 20-26 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 18 of those games, compared to 27 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers.

Reds vs. Indians Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has hit in three of Cleveland’s last seven games.
  • The Indians have won three of their last four games SU.
  • Cleveland has recorded 19.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 19.4 over its last five.
  • The Reds have hit five home runs in their last 10 games. The Indians have hit 21 over their last 10.