Cincinnati Reds at San Francisco Giants Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Cincinnati Reds are ready to face off against the San Francisco Giants at AT&T Park. Fox Sports Ohio will be televising this NL matchup. The opening pitch will be at 10:15 p.m. ET.

Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants Odds

Oddsmakers are listing San Francisco (-120) as the favorite over Cincinnati (+110). Bettors are able to wager on the games total with odds listed at -115 for over 8 runs and -105 for under 8. Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at Reds +1.5 runs (-190) and Giants +-1.5 runs (+165).

The Giants are 21-21 SU and 25-16 ATS. The team has gained 3.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.5 units against the spread (ATS). San Francisco has covered the spread just twice in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Reds are 14-28 SU and have gone 23-18 ATS. In total, the teams lost 9.8 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in the seasons early going, but have gained 0.3 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread in each of its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Giants games have had an over/under record of 21-20 so far in 2018. The Reds have an over/under record of 18-23.

The right-handed Tyler Mahle is projected to start for the visiting Reds. Mahle is 3-4 with a 3.86 ERA and 44 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Giants this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Giants are putting the ball in the hands of lefty Ty Blach (3-4, 4.20 ERA), who’s got 25 punchouts and 16 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.42 WHIP. Blach made two starts against the Reds in 2017, putting together a 0-1 record with a 9.00 ERA.

Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 5.28 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.11 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.24, along with a K-per-9 of 9.04.

Reds hitters have slashed .247/.327/.386 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.7 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 5.4 per game over the teams last five outings (4-1 SU).

First baseman Joey Votto and second baseman Scooter Gennett have led Cincinnati’s hitters. Votto is hitting .291/.414/.446 with six home runs, 23 RBIs and 18 runs scored, while Gennett (.318/.356/.503) has produced six homers, 24 RBIs and 19 runs scored.

Putting up a slash line of .208/.269/.333 across 78 plate appearances, Gennett did not do especially well against lefty pitching on the road last season (compared to his total season line of .295/.342/.531).

In the other dugout, San Francisco’s pitchers have yielded 4.7 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 4.43 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.33 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 8.2 K/9.

The San Francisco offense is putting up 4.1 runs per contest, including 4.5 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .282/.340/.492 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

First baseman Brandon Belt and outfielder Andrew McCutchen have led the Giants batters this year. Belt is slashing .297/.402/.529 with seven home runs, 21 RBIs and 22 runs scored, while McCutchen’s line is .259/.374/.406 with three homers, 15 RBIs and 25 runs.

The Reds have lost 1.8 units and are 6-4 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in five of those games, compared to five that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Giants have lost 3.8 units and are 12-11 ATS when facing a righty starter. The overs hit in nine of those games, compared to 14 that went under.

Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Giants, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • San Francisco has posted 24.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 25.4 over its last five.
  • The Reds have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.