Cincinnati Reds at Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds will pay a visit to Citizens Bank Park to play the Philadelphia Phillies. Fox Sports Ohio will showcase this NL matchup and the opening pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET.

Cincinnati Reds at Philadelphia Phillies Odds

Philadelphia (+165) is coming into this one as the underdog against Cincinnati (-190) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the games runline with the current odds sitting at Reds +1.5 runs (+110) and Phillies -1.5 runs (-120).

The Reds are 2-6 SU and have gone 3-4 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 2.7 units for moneyline gamblers this year and 1.9 units ATS. The Phillies are 3-5 SU and 2-5 ATS. They’ve lost 1.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.9 units ATS.

Philadelphia games have had an over/under record of 3-3-1 so far in 2018. Cincinnati has an over/under record of 4-3.

The Reds have lost 0.7 units and are 2-3 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in three of those games, compared to two that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 2.0 units and are 2-0 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in one of those games, as opposed to one that’ve gone under.

Cody Reed will get the nod for the visiting Reds. The left-handed Reed recorded 17 strikeouts in 17 innings last year (one starts) but finished the season 1-1 overall with a 5.09 ERA and a 1.70 WHIP.

The Phils will put the ball in the hands of righty Ben Lively (0-1, 3.18 ERA), who started 15 games last year and finished the season 4-7 overall with a 4.26 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP.

Philadelphia’s pitching staff has allowed 5.0 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The clubs starters have an ERA of 3.52, a WHIP of 1.33 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.2. The bullpen has a 5.29 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 7.8 K/9.

Philadelphia’s offense has put up 5.3 runs per outing, including 6.0 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .248/.344/.406 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Phillies hitters have been led by left fielder Rhys Hoskins and third baseman Maikel Franco. Hoskins is hitting .440/.559/.760 with 11 hits, seven RBIs and six runs scored, and Franco’s line is .304/.385/.696 with seven hits, 11 RBIs and four runs.

For the visitors, Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 6.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.74 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 5.53 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 6.75, along with a K/9 of 7.76.

The Reds offense has slashed .233/.316/.344 on its way to 3.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including over the teams last five contests (2-3 SU).

Third baseman Eugenio Suarez and catcher Tucker Barnhart have led Cincinnati’s hitters. Suarez is slashing .296/.424/.630 with eight hits, seven RBIs and five runs scored, while Barnhart is hitting .316 with six hits, zero RBIs and two runs scored.

Suarez didn’t seem to enjoy hitting against righty pitching on the road in 2017, putting up a slash line of .233/.340/.300 across 250 such plate appearances (his total season line was .260/.367/.461).

Cincinnati Reds at Philadelphia Phillies MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The Reds went 4-2 SU against the Phillies last season.
  • The Reds bullpen managed 1.33 ERA against the Phillies last year.