The Cincinnati Reds will be taking on the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field. This NL matchup starts at 9:10 p.m. ET and fans can watch it on both ATRM and FSOH.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Cincinnati (+125) as the underdog to Colorado (-135). The total is sitting at 11.5 runs and bettors can take the over for -120 or the under for an even +100. Bettors can also wager on the games runline with the current odds standing at -170 for the Reds +1.5 runs and +150 for the Rockies -1.5.
The Rockies are 27-24 SU and 26-24 ATS. They’ve gained 3.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.9 units against the spread (ATS). Colorado has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The Reds are 18-34 SU and have gone 27-24 ATS. In total, the teams lost 11.2 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 3.5 units ATS. Cincinnati is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Colorado games have had an over/under record of 19-28-3 so far in 2018. Cincinnati has an over/under record of 22-27-2.
The right-handed Tyler Mahle is the probable starter for the visiting Reds. Mahle is 3-6 with a 4.53 ERA and 52 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Rockies this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Rockies are putting the ball in the left hand of Tyler Anderson (3-1, 4.74 ERA, 1.34 WHIP), who’s got 47 punchouts and 19 walks. Anderson only made one start against the Reds in 2017 (1-0, 3.00 ERA and seven strikeouts across six innings).
Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 5.54 ERA, 1.54 WHIP and 7.26 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.93, along with a K/9 of 8.65.
The Reds offense has slashed .239/.319/.374 on its way to 4.1 runs scored per game this year, including 3.6 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the teams last five contests (2-3 SU).
Cincinnati’s offense has been powered by second baseman Scooter Gennett and first baseman Joey Votto. Gennett is hitting .319/.358/.527 with nine home runs, 35 RBIs and 26 runs scored, while Votto is hitting .279 with six homers, 24 RBIs and 25 runs scored.
Gennett did not do especially well against left-handed pitching on the road in 2017. Across 78 such plate appearances, he maintained a slash line of .208/.269/.333 (his overall season line was .295/.342/.531).
In the other dugout, Colorado’s pitching staff has yielded 4.5 runs per game overall in 2018. The clubs starters have an ERA of 4.24, a WHIP of 1.32 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.2. The bullpen has a 4.58 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.
The Colorado offense is putting up 3.9 runs per outing, including 3.6 per game over its last 10 games and 3.0 per game over its last five. The teams hit .219/.294/.313 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
Third baseman Nolan Arenado and outfielder Charlie Blackmon have paced the Rockies batters this year. Arenado is slashing .320/.414/.556 with nine home runs, 27 RBIs and 26 runs scored, while Blackmons line sits at .269/.369/.514 with 12 homers, 23 RBIs and 38 runs scored.
Compared to his overall season slash line of .309/.373/.586, Arenado did not perform very well against right-handed pitchers last year, slashing .272/.341/.502 over 513 plate appearances.
The Reds have lost 3.4 units and are 7-7 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in seven of those games, compared to six that’ve hit the under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Rockies have netted 4.7 units and are 14-16 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The overs hit in 13 of those games, compared to 16 that’ve cashed the under.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Rockies, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – UNDER
- Colorado has recorded 18.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 17.0 over its last five.
- The Reds have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.