Cincinnati Reds at Washington Nationals Free Pick

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The Cincinnati Reds are making a road trip to Washington to play the Nationals at Nationals Park. Fox Sports Ohio will be showing this NL matchup and the game gets underway at 7:05 p.m. ET.

Cincinnati Reds at Washington Nationals Odds

Oddsmakers have offered equal moneyline odds (-105) on each team. If you think this game’s total will go under 9.5 runs, bookmakers are currently offering even money odds (+100). Taking the over will give you -120 odds. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at +140 for the Reds -1.5 runs and -160 for the Nationals +1.5.

The Reds are 56-60 SU and have gone 67-48 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 0.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 11.4 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in six of those seven. The Nationals, on the other hand, are 62-55 SU and 63-53 ATS. They’ve lost 10.2 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 5.8 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Washington games have an over/under record of 52-58-6 in 2019. The Reds have also been a strong under bet with a total record of 45-66-4.

The right-handed Anthony DeSclafani will get the start for the visiting Reds. DeSclafani is 7-6 with a 4.20 ERA and 120 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Nationals this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (1-0, 1.29 ERA and two strikeouts across seven innings).

The Nationals are turning to righty Erick Fedde (2-2, 4.20 ERA), who has 32 strikeouts and 25 walks, in addition to a 1.42 WHIP. Fedde is 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA in one start against Cincinnati this year.

As a unit, Washington’s pitchers have given up 4.6 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 3.58 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 6.00 ERA, 1.53 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.

The Washington offense is putting up 5.0 runs per outing, including 4.8 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .277/.342/.451 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Nationals’ hitters have been led by third baseman Anthony Rendon and right fielder Adam Eaton. Rendon is slashing .320/.404/.607 with 25 home runs, 90 RBIs and 84 runs scored, and Eaton’s line is .282/.363/.397 with seven homers, 29 RBIs, 74 runs and 13 stolen bases.

For the visitors, Cincinnati’s pitching staff allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.82 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.77 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.44, along with a WHIP of 1.25.

Reds hitters have slashed .249/.320/.430 on their way to 4.6 runs scored per game this season, including 5.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Cincinnati’s hitters have been paced by third baseman Eugenio Suarez and first baseman Joey Votto, who collectively have swatted 45 home runs. Suarez is hitting .260/.342/.541 with 33 home runs, 75 RBIs and 64 runs scored. Votto is hitting .256/.345/.406 with 12 homers, 38 RBIs and 60 runs scored.

The Reds have gained 1.4 units and are 50-38 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 34 of those games, compared to 51 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 4.8 units and are 49-38 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 39 of those games, as opposed to 45 that’ve cashed the under.

Reds at Nationals Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Cincinnati has logged 28 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Washington has 13 XBH over its last five.
  • The Reds have a team OPS of .750 this season and an OPS of .737 against right-handed pitchers. The Nationals’ OPS stands at .772 overall and .755 versus righties.
  • Washington has recorded 22.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 24.2 over its last five.
  • The Reds have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games, including 16 over their last five.