Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers Free Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Cincinnati Reds are heading west to play their division rival Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. The matchup will begin at 7:40 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports Net Wisconsin to catch the action.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds

Milwaukee (-175) is the favorite against Cincinnati (+165) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this one at nine runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total sit at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at -135 for the Reds +1.5 runs and +115 for the Brewers -1.5.

The Brewers are 85-65 straight up (SU) and 77-72 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 16.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 0.8 units (ATS). Milwaukee has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Reds are 64-86 SU and have gone 85-64 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 10.0 units for moneyline gamblers, but have gained 7.5 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.

Brewers games have a 71-74-4 over/under record in 2018. Cincinnati has been a decent over bet with a total record of 76-68-5.

Anthony DeSclafani is getting the nod for Cincinnati. The right-handed DeSclafani is 7-5 with a 4.80 ERA and 87 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with 12 strikeouts and a 5.54 ERA against Milwaukee this year (two starts).

The Brewers are handing the ball to lefty Wade Miley (4-2, 2.23 ERA), who has 45 strikeouts and 25 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.19. Miley is 1-0 with 10 strikeouts and a 1.35 ERA over two starts against Cincinnati this year.

Cincinnati’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.09 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.81 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.20, along with a WHIP of 1.44.

Reds hitters have slashed .258/.334/.408 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game this year, including 4.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 1.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza have led Cincinnati’s offense. Gennett is slashing .318/.365/.499 with 22 home runs, 88 RBIs and 84 runs scored, while Peraza (.293/.332/.419) is up to 12 homers, 54 RBIs, 82 runs and 23 stolen bases.

In the home-team dugout, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.94 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.67 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 10.2 K/9. In 67 divisional games, Brewers starters have an ERA of 3.74 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.05.

The Milwaukee hitters have produced 4.5 runs per contest, including 3.6 per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over their last five. The team has hit .226/.291/.409 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain have led the Brewers’ batters this year. Yelich is hitting .313/.381/.556 with 30 home runs, 89 RBIs, 101 runs and 19 stolen bases, while Cain’s line sits at .311/.401/.427 with 10 homers, 36 RBIs, 82 runs and 28 steals.

The Reds have gained 5.0 units and are 28-15 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 23 of those games, compared to 19 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 17.0 units and are 58-51 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 48 of those games, compared to 57 that’ve cashed the under.

Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has cashed in three of Cincinnati’s last seven games.
  • Milwaukee has posted 17.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 17.8 over its last five.
  • The Reds have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 12 over their last 10.