Cincinnati Reds at Miami Marlins Free Pick

Jonathan GarosArticles, Baseball, MLB, Uncategorized

The Cincinnati Reds are ready to face the Miami Marlins at Marlins Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and Fox SportsNet Florida will be airing this NL showdown.

Cincinnati Reds at Miami Marlins Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Miami (-110) as the favorite over Cincinnati (+100). The total sits at 8 runs and bettors can take the over for even money (+100) or the under for -120. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at Reds +1.5 runs (-210) and Marlins -1.5 runs (+175).

The Reds have gone 66-89 SU this year and are 88-66 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 7.8 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, despite having gained 7.9 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in all seven of them. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 60-93 SU and 78-74 ATS. The team has lost 4.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 12.2 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Marlins games have had an over/under record of 76-71-5 in 2018. Cincinnati has an over/under record of 76-73-5.

The right-handed Anthony DeSclafani is projected to start for Cincinnati. DeSclafani is 7-6 with a 4.92 ERA and 92 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Marlins this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Marlins will send righty Jose Urena (7-12, 4.21 ERA) to the mound. Urena has 126 strikeouts and 46 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.19. Urena only made one start against the Reds in 2017 (1-0, 1.50 ERA and four strikeouts across six innings).

Cincinnati’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.03 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 7.80 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.18, along with a WHIP of 1.42 and a K/9 of 7.94.

Reds hitters have slashed .256/.332/.404 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game this season, including 1.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 1.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza continue to lead Cincinnati’s hitters. Gennett is hitting .316/.365/.499 with 23 home runs, 92 RBIs and 85 runs scored, while Peraza has a .290 average with 13 homers, 56 RBIs, 84 runs and 23 stolen bases.

For the home team, Miami’s pitching staff has allowed 5.1 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 4.41 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.38 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 8.0 K/9.

The Miami hitters have produced 3.7 runs per outing, including 3.0 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .233/.306/.350 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson have paced the Marlins’ offense this year. Castro is hitting .282/.332/.406 with 12 home runs, 54 RBIs and 75 runs scored, and Anderson’s line is .268/.352/.392 with 10 homers, 59 RBIs and 82 runs.

The Reds have lost 12.2 units and are 59-49 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 53 of those games, compared to 51 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Marlins have netted 1.3 units and are 57-58 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 57 of those games, compared to 53 that’ve cashed the under.

Cincinnati Reds at Miami Marlins MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Marlins, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes,

  • Cincinnati has tallied nine extra-base hits over its last five outings. Miami has 12 XBH over its last five.
  • Miami has recorded 16.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 19.0 over its last five.
  • The Reds have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit seven over their last 10.