Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs Free Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Chicago Cubs will go for their fourth win in a row as they play host to the Cincinnati Reds at Wrigley Field. The action starts at 2:20 p.m. ET and fans can watch the game on both WLS and FSOH.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs Odds

The Reds have gone 63-86 SU this year and are 84-64 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 9.0 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having gained 6.5 units ATS. The Cubs, on the other hand, are 87-61 SU and 73-74 ATS. The team has gained 2.9 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 0.9 units ATS.

Cubs games have an over/under record of 65-79-3 in 2018. The Reds have been a decent over bet with a total record of 76-67-5.

The right-handed Luis Castillo is the projected starter for Cincinnati. Castillo (9-12, 4.66 ERA) has recorded 158 strikeouts in 154.2 innings so far. He’s 1-1 with 14 strikeouts and a 6.00 ERA against Chicago this year (four starts).

The Cubs are putting the ball in the left hand of Jose Quintana (13-9, 3.97 ERA, 1.32 WHIP), who has 135 strikeouts and 65 walks. Quintana is 2-1 with 12 strikeouts and a 3.18 ERA across three starts against Cincinnati this year.

Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The team’s starters have a 3.89 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.33 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.6 K/9. In 68 games against divisional foes, Cubs starters have an ERA of 3.35 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.78.

The Chicago offense is putting up 4.7 runs per outing, including 4.3 per game against divisional foes and 2.4 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .192/.267/.269 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that span.

Javier Baez has helped lead the Cubs’ offense this year with 31 home runs, 103 RBIs, 93 runs and 21 steals.

In the other dugout, Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 5.12 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.85 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.21, along with a K/9 of 7.94.

The Reds offense has slashed .258/.335/.408 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game this year, including 4.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Scooter Gennett has provided a spark to the Cincinnati offense. Gennett is slashing .320/.365/.502 with 22 home runs, 88 RBIs and 84 runs scored.

The Cubs are looking for another win after a 1-0 victory in the prior game of the series.

Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has cashed in four of Cincinnati’s last seven outings.
  • The Reds have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Cubs have hit five over their last 10.
  • Cincinnati has averaged 21.7 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 games and 20.0 over its last five.