Cincinnati Bengals vs. Oakland Raiders – Week 11 Free Betting Pick

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The Cincinnati Bengals (+10) are traveling west to face the Oakland Raiders at Oakland Coliseum. This late afternoon game is scheduled to get underway at 4:25 p.m. ET and CBS will broadcast the action.

Betting Preview: Oakland Raiders vs. Cincinnati Bengals

In this Sunday AFC game, Oakland is getting picked as the big favorite and is currently giving up 10 points. The Bengals are also receiving +325 moneyline odds while the Raiders are -475. There should be some good in-game betting opportunities during the matchup, and oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 49.5 points.

The line initially opened at -9 while the total was set originally at 48, so it seems that the sharp action has been siding with both the Raiders and the over.

The disappointing Bengals are down 9.6 units so far in 2019 and 3-6 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a decent under bet and have posted an O/U mark of 3-5-1.

The surprising Raiders are up 3.5 units this season. The team is 6-3 ATS and has an O/U record of 6-3.

The Bengals are 0-9 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Raiders are 5-4 SU.

The Bengals may already be looking ahead to 2020 after a 36-point loss to Baltimore last week in which Ryan Finley completed only 16-of-30 passes for 167 yards, as well as a TD and an interception. Joe Mixon (114 yards on 30 rush attempts) led the ground attack. Tyler Boyd (six receptions, 62 yards) and Auden Tate (three catches, 36 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.

Oakland just picked up a 26-24 win over the Chargers in Week 10. Derek Carr completed 21-of-31 passes for 218 yards and one touchdown. Josh Jacobs (71 yards on 16 rush attempts, one TD) mounted the running game as Richard (four receptions, 43 yards) and Hunter Renfrow (four catches, 42 yards) led the receiving corps in the win.

Cincinnati’s run the ball on 34.1 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Oakland has an overall rush percentage of 46.7 percent. The Bengals have produced 70.3 rush yards/game and have three touchdowns on the ground this year. The Raiders are putting up 129.9 rushing yards per game and have nine total rush TDs.

If 2019 numbers can translate to this game, then the Raiders might own the edge in terms of RB effectiveness. Their running backs has produced 4.7 yards per carry while the defense is allowing 3.9 YPC to opponents. The Bengals have tallied 3.3 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 5.2 to opponents.

The Bengals offensive scheme has logged 268.8 yards/contest in the air overall and has 10 passing scores so far. The Raiders have recorded 248.7 pass yards per contest and have 15 total pass TDs.

Defensively, Cincinnati seems to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed 173 rush yards and 263.2 pass yards per game. The Oakland defense has allowed 300.2 yards per game to opposing passers and 98.4 yards per game on the ground. The Raiders are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of 8.13 to opponents, while the Bengals have given up an ugly 8.99 ANY/A.

Passing-wise, Dalton has put up 2,252 yards this season. He’s connected on 204-of-338 attempts with nine scores through the air and eight interceptions. Dalton’s got a 5.13 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 5.56 over the last two outings.

Joe Mixon (368 rushing yards, 136 receiving yards, two receiving touchdowns on the year), Tyler Boyd (533 receiving yards, one receiving TD) and Alex Erickson (246 receiving yards) have each played significant roles lately.

Derek Carr has connected on 179-of-250 passes for 1,913 yards, 12 TDs and four INTs for Oakland. His ANY/A stands at 7.31 for the season and 8.17 over his past two outings.

We’re looking for the Raiders to control the game’s pace by feeding their ball-carriers early and often. Hunter Renfrow (245 receiving yards, one TD this season) has stepped up lately, but Josh Jacobs (691 rush yards, five rush TDs, 132 receiving yards) and Jalen Richard (57 rush yards, 107 receiving yards) have been focal points in the Raiders’ recent offensive strategies.

These two squads met a year ago with the final outcome being a 30-16 win for Cincinnati.

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Oakland Raiders Betting Prediction

SU Winner: Raiders, ATS Winner: Raiders, O/U: Under

Team Betting Trends

  • The Over/Under for Cincinnati’s last game was 44.5. The over cashed in the team’s 49-13 defeat to Baltimore.
  • Cincinnati, as a team, has averaged 3.6 yards per rush attempt over its past three outings and 4.2 over its last two.
  • Oakland has averaged 4.3 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 4.4 over its past two.
  • The Oakland offense has lost four fumbles this season while Cincinnati has lost nine.
  • In its last three games, Cincinnati is 0-3 ATS.
  • The O/U for Oakland’s last game going into it was 49. The over cashed in the 26-24 win over the Chargers.
  • In its last three matches, Oakland is 3-0 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • The Bengals offense has produced six pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Raiders have accounted for four such plays.
  • The Cincinnati defense has allowed eight pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Oakland has given up 11 such plays.
  • The Cincinnati offense has created one rushing play of 20+ yards, while Oakland has created seven such runs.
  • The Bengals defense has allowed 16 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Raiders have given up five such runs.
  • The Oakland defense has created double the sack total of Cincinnati this season (20 to 10).