Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

In Game 1 of a divisional doubleheader, the Chicago White Sox are set to take on the Minnesota Twins at Target Field. The matchup will begin at 4:10 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Chicago will be televising the game.

Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Odds

The White Sox have gone only 18-38 SU this year and are 29-27 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 16.8 units for moneyline gamblers and 2.3 units ATS. Chicago is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The Twins, on the other hand, are 25-30 SU and 33-22 ATS. The teams lost 5.9 units for moneyline bettors while earning 9.1 units ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven.

Neither side has been a strong over/under play this season. Twins games have a 27-27-1 over/under record so far in 2018. White Sox games have gone over 26 times, gone under 26 times and pushed on four occasions.

The right-handed Reynaldo Lopez is projected to start for Chicago. Lopez is 1-4 with a 3.80 ERA and 44 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with a 5.40 ERA against Minnesota this year.

The Twins are handing the ball to Zack Littell (0-0, ERA), who’s got zero strikeouts and zero walks, as well as a WHIP. Littell hasn’t faced the White Sox yet this year and did not pitch in the majors last season.

Minnesota’s pitchers have yielded 4.5 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 4.26, a WHIP of 1.31 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.9. The bullpen has a 4.29 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In 17 games against divisional opponents, Twins starters have an ERA of 4.06 and the bullpens ERA is 2.54.

The Minnesota hitters have produced 4.3 runs per outing, including 5.2 per game against divisional foes and 7.4 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .293/.366/.592 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Left fielder Eddie Rosario and second baseman Brian Dozier have led the Twins hitters this year. Rosario is slashing .317/.352/.573 with 13 home runs, 40 RBIs, 36 runs and five stolen bases, while Dozier’s line sits at .246/.319/.434 with nine homers, 25 RBIs and 36 runs scored.

Rosario seemed to enjoy hitting righties at home last season. In 209 such plate appearances, he slashed .351/.402/.733 (compared to his total season line of .290/.328/.507).

For the visiting squad, Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 5.4 runs per game and its starters own a 5.64 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 6.23 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.10, along with a K/9 of 9.04.

The White Sox offense has slashed .245/.311/.415 on its way to 4.0 runs scored per game this season, including 4.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the teams last five outings (2-3 SU).

Chicago’s offense has been powered by first baseman Jose Abreu and third baseman Yolmer Sanchez. Abreu is hitting .300/.358/.521 with nine home runs, 32 RBIs and 30 runs scored, while Sanchez (.279/.315/.418) has produced three homers, 25 RBIs, 22 runs and five stolen bases.

The Twins have lost 4.2 units and are 24-17 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 22 of those games, compared to 18 that’ve gone under.

Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – White Sox, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • Minnesota has recorded 22.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 27.8 over its last five.
  • The White Sox have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Twins have hit 14 over their last 10.