Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Chicago White Sox will make a road trip to Target Field to play their division rival Minnesota Twins. NBC Sports Chicago is in line to broadcast the action. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET.

Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins Odds

Minnesota (-160) is the favorite over Chicago (+150) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 9.5 runs (-120 for the under and +100 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at -145 for the White Sox +1.5 runs and +125 for the Twins -1.5.

The White Sox have gone 46-77 SU this year and are 61-61 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 18.3 units for moneyline bettors and 6.1 units ATS. Chicago is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Twins, on the other hand, are 59-64 SU and 66-56 ATS. The team has lost 7.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 7.9 units ATS. Minnesota has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Neither side has established itself as an obvious over/under play this season. Minnesota games have a 59-60-3 over/under record in 2018. White Sox games have gone over 58 times, gone under 58 times and pushed on six occasions.

Right-hander Lucas Giolito is the projected starter for the visiting White Sox. Giolito is 8-9 with a 6.15 ERA and 91 strikeouts. He’s 1-1 with seven strikeouts and a 2.89 ERA against Minnesota this year (three starts).

The Twins are sending Stephen Gonsalves to the mound. This game represents the first MLB start of the season for the left-handed Gonsalves.

Chicago’s pitching staff allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.16 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 6.67 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.56, along with a K/9 of 9.67.

White Sox hitters have slashed .242/.303/.407 on their way to 4.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

First baseman Jose Abreu and third baseman Yolmer Sanchez continue to lead Chicago’s hitters. Abreu is slashing .270/.330/.489 with 22 home runs, 76 RBIs and 66 runs scored, while Sanchez is hitting .248 with seven homers, 45 RBIs and 44 runs scored.

For the home team, Minnesota’s pitchers have yielded 4.7 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 4.44 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.49 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 9.3 K/9. In 53 games against AL Central opponents, Twins starters have an ERA of 4.57 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.13.

The Minnesota offense is putting up 4.5 runs per contest, including 4.5 per game against divisional foes and 7.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .281/.337/.581 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

The Twins’ offense has been led by left fielder Eddie Rosario and shortstop Eduardo Escobar. Rosario is hitting .294/.333/.498 with 22 home runs, 71 RBIs and 78 runs scored, and Escobar’s line is .274/.338/.514 with 15 homers, 63 RBIs and 45 runs scored.

The Twins have lost 5.4 units and are 46-40 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 44 of those games, compared to 40 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers.

Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – White Sox, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • The over has cashed in four of Chicago’s last seven contests.
  • The White Sox have won four of their last five games SU while the Twins have taken five of their last six.
  • Chicago has posted 21.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 25.4 over its last five.
  • The White Sox have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.