Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins Free Pick

The Chicago White Sox are paying a visit to Target Field to do battle against their AL Central nemesis Minnesota Twins. NBC Sports Chicago will be airing the matchup and the game gets underway at 8:10 p.m. ET.

Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Minnesota (-175) as the favorite over Chicago (+165). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at even money (+100) for over 8.5 runs and -120 for under 8.5. Gamblers can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at White Sox +1.5 runs (-135) and Twins +-1.5 runs (+115).

The Twins are 6-4 SU and 7-2 ATS. The team has gained 1.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.2 units against the spread (ATS). Minnesota has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The White Sox are 4-7 SU and have gone 4-6 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 4.2 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season and 2.8 units ATS. Chicago is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.

Twins games have an over/under record of 3-6 so far in 2018. White Sox games have gone over five times, gone under five times and pushed on zero occasions.

The White Sox have lost 2.3 units and are 2-4 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in two of those games, compared to four that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Twins have lost 1.4 units and are 5-2 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in three of those games, compared to four which went under the total.

Lucas Giolito (0-1, 6.17 ERA) will get the nod for the visiting White Sox. The right-handed Giolito started seven games last year while finishing the season 3-3 overall with a 2.38 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP.

The Twinkies will put the ball in the hands of righty Jose Berrios (1-1, 3.29 ERA), who recorded 139 strikeouts in 145 innings last year (25 starts), while finishing the season 14-8 overall with a 3.89 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP. He recorded three starts against the White Sox a year ago and assembled a 2-1 record with a 2.21 ERA and 28 strikeouts.

As a unit, Minnesota’s pitchers have given up 3.7 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.35, a WHIP of 1.34 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.6. The bullpen has a 3.72 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In zero games against divisional foes, Twins starters have an ERA of and the bullpen’s ERA is .

Minnesota’s offense is putting up 4.7 runs per outing, including 4.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .240/.332/.395 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Twins’ hitters have been led by second baseman Brian Dozier and first baseman Joe Mauer. Dozier is slashing .293/.396/.610 with 12 hits, five RBIs and 10 runs scored, and Mauer’s line is .387/.525/.516 with 12 hits, three RBIs and six runs.

In the other dugout, Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 5.4 runs per game and its starters own a 4.72 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 5.31 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.59, along with a WHIP of 1.43 and a K/9 of 10.70.

White Sox hitters have slashed .245/.341/.445 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Chicago’s offense has been led by Matt Davidson and Jose Abreu. Davidson is slashing .235/.409/.706 with eight hits, five homers, 10 RBIs and 10 runs scored, while Abreu has a .273 average with 12 hits, three homers, six RBIs and six runs scored.

Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – White Sox, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The White Sox went 7-12 SU against the Twins in 2017.
  • The White Sox’ bullpen managed 3.48 ERA against the Twins last year.