Chicago White Sox at Detroit Tigers Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Detroit Tigers are set to play host to the Chicago White Sox at Comerica Park. The action will get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to WGN.

Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers Odds

Chicago (+120) is entering this one as the underdog to Detroit (-130) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at 9 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -120 for the under and +100 for the over. Runline odds stand at -175 for taking the White Sox +1.5 runs and +155 for the Tigers -1.5.

The Tigers are 61-57 against the spread (ATS), but only 50-69 straight up (SU). The team hasn’t moved the needle much for gamblers, losing 3.6 units for moneyline bettors and 5.7 units (ATS). Detroit has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The White Sox, on the other hand, are 42-76 SU and have gone 58-59 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 19.2 units for moneyline gamblers and 7.6 units ATS. Chicago is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Detroit games have an over/under record of 45-68-5 in 2018. The White Sox have an over/under record of 55-57-5.

Lucas Giolito will get the start for the White Sox. The right-handed Giolito is 7-9 with a 6.23 ERA and 84 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with 10 strikeouts and an 8.18 ERA against Detroit this year (two starts).

The Tigers are sending lefty Blaine Hardy (4-4, 3.63 ERA) to the mound. Hardy has 54 strikeouts and 19 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.18. Hardy is 2-0 with nine strikeouts and a 1.46 ERA across two starts against Chicago this year.

As a unit, Detroit’s pitching staff has allowed 4.6 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.33, a WHIP of 1.30 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.2. The bullpen has a 4.43 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 7.9 K/9. In 48 games against AL Central foes, Tigers starters have an ERA of 4.00 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.35.

Detroit’s hitters have put up 3.8 runs per contest, including 3.6 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .248/.314/.389 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Right fielder Nicholas Castellanos and shortstop Jose Iglesias have led the Tigers’ batters this year. Castellanos is slashing .291/.340/.492 with 17 home runs, 64 RBIs and 62 runs scored, and Iglesias is batting .265 with five homers, 47 RBIs, 37 runs and 14 stolen bases.

In the visiting dugout, Chicago’s pitching staff allowed 5.4 runs per game and its starters own a 5.15 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 6.56 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.68, along with a WHIP of 1.42.

The White Sox offense has slashed .240/.302/.404 on its way to 4.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Chicago’s offensive production has been sparked by first baseman Jose Abreu and third baseman Yolmer Sanchez, who have combined to swat 27 home runs. Abreu is slashing .264/.323/.475 with 20 home runs, 68 RBIs and 62 runs scored, while Sanchez (.243/.299/.384) has produced seven homers, 44 RBIs, 42 runs and 10 stolen bases.

The White Sox have lost 9.7 units and are 13-15 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 13 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Tigers have lost 10.8 units and are 41-46 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 30 of those games, compared to 53 that’ve cashed the under.

Chicago White Sox at Detroit Tigers Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Tigers, ATS Winner – White Sox, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • Chicago has recorded 14 extra-base hits over its last five games. Detroit has 12 XBH over its last five.
  • The White Sox have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
  • Detroit has recorded 16.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 19.8 over its last five.
  • The White Sox have lost six of their last seven games SU.