Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Indians Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Chicago White Sox will be squaring off against their divisional rival Cleveland Indians at Progressive Field. SportsTime Ohio will broadcast the matchup and the game is slated to get going at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Indians Odds

Vegas has listed Cleveland (-290) as the favorite over Chicago (+245). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -120 for over 8.5 runs and even money (+100) for under 8.5. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at +120 for the White Sox +1.5 runs and -140 for the Indians -1.5.

The Indians are 84-66 straight up (SU) and 70-79 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 22.9 units for moneyline bettors and 19.5 units (ATS). Cleveland has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The White Sox have gone 59-91 SU this year and are 77-72 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 14.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 0.8 units ATS. Chicago’s covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Indians games have had an over/under record of 72-69-8 in 2018. The White Sox have an over/under record of 70-72-7.

The right-handed Dylan Covey is projected to start for the visiting White Sox. Covey is 5-13 with a 5.64 ERA and 76 strikeouts. He’s 1-2 with 13 strikeouts and a 6.63 ERA against Cleveland this year (four starts).

The Indians are going with righty Carlos Carrasco (16-9, 3.43 ERA), who has 206 punchouts and 36 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.13. Carrasco is 2-0 with 20 strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA over two starts against Chicago this year.

Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 4.97 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 6.78 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.43, along with a K-per-9 of 9.72.

White Sox hitters have slashed .243/.305/.408 on their way to 4.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Chicago’s offense has been sparked by third baseman Yolmer Sanchez and first baseman Jose Abreu. Sanchez is slashing .246/.314/.380 with eight home runs, 52 RBIs, 56 runs and 14 stolen bases, while Abreu (.265/.325/.473) has produced 22 homers, 78 RBIs and 68 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Cleveland’s pitchers have given up 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.44, a WHIP of 1.15 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.6. The bullpen has a 4.59 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.3 K/9. In 67 divisional games, Indians starters have an ERA of 2.69 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.24.

The Cleveland offense is putting up 5.0 runs per contest, including 5.4 per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .245/.342/.423 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Indians’ offense has been led by shortstop Francisco Lindor and left fielder Michael Brantley. Lindor is slashing .283/.356/.525 with 35 home runs, 86 RBIs, 121 runs and 23 stolen bases, while Brantley’s line is .306/.362/.471 with 16 homers, 73 RBIs and 82 runs.

The White Sox have lost 8.9 units and are 57-54 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 54 of those games, compared to 51 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Indians have lost 13.3 units and are 53-57 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 54 of those games, as opposed to 51 which went under the total.

Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Indians Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – White Sox, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • Chicago has logged 19 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Cleveland has 14 XBH over its last five.
  • The Chicago defense has allowed nine errors over the last 10 games, compared to three errors for Cleveland over its last 10.
  • Both teams have hit 14 home runs over their last 10 outings.