Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres Matchup

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Javier Baez and the Chicago Cubs are ready to take on the San Diego Padres at PETCO Park in a Wednesday showdown. The first pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET and this NL matchup will be televised on WLS, FSSD and ESPN.

Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres Odds

Bookmakers have San Diego (+100) as the underdog to Chicago (-110). You can play game’s total with current odds listed at +110 for over 8.5 runs and -130 for under 8.5. There’s a runline of Cubs -1.5 (+135) and Padres +1.5 (-155) for this matchup.

The Cubs are 77-67 SU and have gone 68-75 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle very much this year, losing 3.2 units for moneyline gamblers and 6.8 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Padres, on the other hand, are 67-77 SU and 67-76 ATS. They’ve lost 15.3 units for moneyline bettors and 16.4 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Padres games have an over/under record of 68-67-8 in 2019. Cubs games have gone under 68 times, gone over 64 times and pushed on 11 occasions.

The southpaw Cole Hamels is projected to start for the visiting Cubs. Hamels (7-6, 3.95 ERA) has racked up 125 strikeouts in 130 innings so far. He has yet to face the Padres this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-0, 7.20 ERA and five strikeouts across five innings).

The Padres are sending righty Chris Paddack (8-7, 3.54 ERA) to the mound. Paddack has 137 punchouts and 29 walks to his credit as well as a 1.02 WHIP. Paddack did not appear in the majors in 2018.

Chicago’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 4.09 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 8.78 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.02, along with a K/9 of 8.91.

Cubs hitters have slashed .251/.333/.450 on their way to 4.9 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Shortstop Javier Baez and third baseman Kris Bryant continue to lead Chicago’s offense. Baez is slashing .281/.316/.532 with 29 home runs, 85 RBIs and 88 runs scored. Bryant has a .281 average with 28 homers, 68 RBIs and 100 runs scored.

For the home team, San Diego’s pitching staff has allowed 4.8 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starters have a 4.59 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.55 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.9 K/9.

The San Diego hitters have put up 4.3 runs per contest, including 3.9 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .226/.323/.310 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Padres’ batters have been led by first baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Manny Machado. Hosmer is slashing .280/.327/.443 with 20 home runs, 92 RBIs and 68 runs scored, while Machado’s line sits at .260/.332/.467 with 29 homers, 78 RBIs and 77 runs scored.

The Cubs have gained 5.3 units and are 56-56 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 52 of those games, as opposed to 51 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 8.8 units and are 15-15 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in 12 of those games, compared to 17 that went under the total.

Cubs at Padres Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Chicago has logged 17 extra-base hits over its last five contests. San Diego has seven XBH over its last five.
  • The Padres have won three of their last four games SU.
  • The Chicago defense has coughed up six errors over the last five outin, compared to three errors for San Diego over its last five.
  • The Cubs have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
  • The Cubs have an OPS of .783 this season and an OPS of .799 against right-handed pitchers. The Padres’ OPS sits at .730 overall and .707 versus righties.