Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets Matchup

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The New York Mets are playing host to the Chicago Cubs at Citi Field. This NL matchup will be nationally broadcasted on Fox and the opening pitch is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET.

Chicago Cubs at New York Mets Odds

New York (-130) is favored over Chicago (+120) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at 7.5 runs (-115 for the under and -105 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the games runline with the current odds coming in at Cubs +1.5 runs (-175) and Mets -1.5 runs (+155).

The Mets are 27-28 SU and 26-27 ATS. The team has lost 3.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.1 units against the spread (ATS). New York has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Cubs have gone 31-23 SU this year and are 25-28 ATS. Overall, the teams lost 4.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 3.1 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven.

Mets games have an over/under record of 23-29-1 so far in 2018. Chicago has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 22-30-1.

Southpaw Mike Montgomery will get the nod for Chicago. Montgomery is 1-1 with a 4.35 ERA and 20 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mets this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 2.57 ERA and six strikeouts across seven innings).

The Mets are handing the ball to righty Jacob deGrom (4-0, 1.52 ERA), who has 85 punchouts and 19 walks, as well as a 1.01 WHIP. deGrom only made one start against the Cubs in 2017 (1-0, 1.00 ERA and six strikeouts across nine innings).

As a unit, New York’s pitching staff has given up 4.6 runs per game overall this season. The clubs starters have a 4.00 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.56 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 8.9 K/9.

New York’s hitters have put up 4.2 runs per contest, including 4.7 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .253/.333/.431 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Mets offense has been led by second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario. Cabrera is slashing .302/.345/.524 with 10 home runs, 34 RBIs and 30 runs scored, and Rosario is hitting .254 with three homers, 18 RBIs and 23 runs scored.

Cabrera did not do very well against left-handed pitching at home last year, slashing .268/.288/.286 in 59 such plate appearances (compared to his overall season line of .280/.351/.434).

In the other dugout, Chicago’s pitching staff allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.72 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 8.27 K/9. The bullpen has logged an outstanding ERA of just 2.72, along with a WHIP of 1.33 and a K-per-9 of 9.04.

Cubs hitters have slashed .266/.349/.438 on their way to 5.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.7 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 5.6 per game over the teams last five outings (4-1 SU).

Chicago’s offense has been led by third baseman Kris Bryant and second baseman Javier Baez, who have combined to belt 21 home runs. Bryant is slashing .295/.409/.528 with eight home runs, 28 RBIs and 32 runs scored, while Baez is hitting .267/.300/.553 with 13 homers, 43 RBIs, 33 runs and seven steals.

The Cubs have lost 6.0 units and are 18-22 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 16 of those games, compared to 23 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 2.2 units and are 8-7 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in six of those games, as opposed to nine which went under the total.

Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The Cubs have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
  • Chicago has recorded 25.5 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 contests and 30.8 over its last five.
  • The Cubs have won five of their last six games SU while the Mets have lost three of their last four SU.