Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers Matchup

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Chicago Cubs will be taking on their divisional rival Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. WGN will be televising the matchup and the game gets underway at 2:10 p.m. ET.

Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers Odds

Milwaukee (+110) is the home-team underdog against Chicago (-120) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this day game at 9 runs. Odds for wagering on the games total sit at +100 for the under and -120 for the over. You can also wager on the games runline with the most recent odds sitting at Cubs -1.5 runs (+125) and Brewers +1.5 runs (-145).

The Cubs are 38-26 SU and are 32-31 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 0.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline, despite having gained 2.6 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 40-27 SU and 37-29 ATS. They’ve gained 12.9 units for moneyline bettors and 5.7 units ATS. Milwaukee has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Brewers games have had an over/under record of 26-38-2 so far in 2018. Cubs games have gone under 36 times, gone over 26 times and pushed on one occasion.

Mike Montgomery will get the nod for the visiting Cubs. The left-handed Montgomery is 2-1 with a 3.56 ERA and 25 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with a 27.00 ERA against Milwaukee this year (two starts).

The Brewers are putting the ball in the right hand of Jhoulys Chacin (5-1, 3.58 ERA), who’s got 57 strikeouts and 30 walks this season as well as a 1.25 WHIP. Chacin has yet to face the Cubs this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 3.00 ERA and six strikeouts across six innings).

As a unit, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game overall this year. The clubs starters have an ERA of 4.04, a WHIP of 1.25 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.3. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 2.68, a WHIP of 1.15 and a K/9 of 10.4. In 28 games against NL Central foes, Brewers starters have an ERA of 3.82 and the bullpens ERA is 3.55.

Milwaukee’s offense is putting up 4.3 runs per outing, including 2.9 per game against divisional foes and 6.6 per game over its last five. The team has hit .269/.332/.478 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Brewers hitters have been led by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain. Yelich is slashing .307/.377/.482 with eight home runs, 28 RBIs, 43 runs and seven stolen bases, while Cain’s line sits at .283/.383/.426 with seven homers, 21 RBIs, 39 runs and 12 stolen bases.

In the other dugout, Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 3.6 runs per game and its starters own a 3.52 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.20 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 2.69, along with a K-per-9 of 9.35.

Cubs hitters have slashed .259/.342/.418 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game this year, including 4.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.6 per game over the teams last five contests (3-2 SU).

Third baseman Kris Bryant and left fielder Albert Almora Jr. have paced Chicago’s hitters. Bryant is slashing .281/.391/.481 with eight home runs, 29 RBIs and 36 runs scored, while Almora Jr. (.316/.367/.432) is up to two homers, 17 RBIs and 36 runs scored.

The Cubs have lost 2.9 units and are 24-25 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 20 of those games, compared to 28 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Brewers have lost 1.7 units and are 6-9 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in eight of those games, compared to seven that went under the total.

Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Chicago has posted 18 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 15 over its last five.
  • The Cubs have hit five home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 14 over their last 10.