Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are set to host their divisional rival Chicago Cubs at Miller Park. The matchup will get going at 1:10 p.m. ET and WGN will broadcast the game.

Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers Odds

Chicago (+120) is hosting this game as the underdog against Milwaukee (-140) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs. Odds for betting on the games total stand at -120 for the over and +100 for the under. Gamblers can also wager on the games spread with the current runline odds standing at Cubs -1.5 runs (-125) and Brewers +1.5 runs (+115).

The Cubs have gone 4-4 SU this year and are 3-4 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 3.8 units for moneyline gamblers this year and 1.4 units ATS. The Brewers are 5-4 SU and 3-5 ATS. They’ve gained 2.1 units for moneyline bettors while earning 2.7 units ATS.

Brewers games have a 4-4 over/under record so far in 2018. Chicago has an over/under record of 3-4.

The Cubs have lost 0.8 units and are 2-2 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in three of those games, compared to one that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 1.0 units and are 1-2 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in one of those games, compared to two which went under the total.

Left-hander Jose Quintana (0-1, 9.00 ERA) will get the nod for the visiting Cubs. Quintana recorded 207 strikeouts in 188 innings last year (32 starts) but finished the season 11-11 overall with a 4.15 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. He made two starts against Milwaukee in 2017 and compiled a 1-1 record against the Brewers with a 1.20 ERA and 16 strikeouts.

The Brewers are going with righty Chase Anderson (0-0, 3.60 ERA) as their starter. Anderson struck out 133 hitters in 141 innings last year (25 starts). Anderson finished the season 12-4 overall with a 2.74 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP. He made four starts against Chicago a year ago and assembled a 2-2 record with a 4.87 ERA and 20 strikeouts.

As a unit, Milwaukee’s pitching staff has allowed 5.0 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has a 5.48 ERA, 1.53 WHIP and 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 2.50 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 8.6 K/9. In six divisional games, Brewers starters have an ERA of 6.00 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.00.

Milwaukee’s offense has put up 3.7 runs per outing, including 2.4 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .224/.289/.352 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Eric Thames and Christian Yelich have led the Brewers batters so far. Thames is hitting .240/.345/.640 with six hits, five RBIs and five runs scored, while Yelich is batting .385 with 10 hits, five RBIs and six runs.

Thames did not seem to enjoy hitting against left-handed pitchers at home last year, slashing .188/.304/.438 in 56 such plate appearances (his total season line was .247/.359/.518).

In the other dugout, Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 3.3 runs per game and its starters own a 4.43 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 6.96 K/9. The bullpen has an outstanding ERA of just 1.02, along with a K/9 of 9.93.

Cubs hitters have slashed .223/.327/.370 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including over the teams last five contests (2-3 SU).

Third baseman Kris Bryant and shortstop Addison Russell have led Chicago’s hitters. Bryant is slashing .364/.500/.697 with 12 hits, six RBIs and five runs scored, while Russell (.308/.438/.423) is up to eight hits, two RBIs and four runs scored.

Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The Brewers went 9-10 SU against the Cubs last season.
  • The Cubs bullpen managed an ERA of 3.96 against the Brewers last year.