Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Milwaukee Brewers will go for their fourth straight win as they play host to the Chicago Cubs at Miller Park. The matchup will get underway at 8:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to WGN to catch the game.

Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds

Chicago (+105) is entering this game as the underdog against Milwaukee (-115) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at 9 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). Runline odds stand at -200 for taking the Cubs +1.5 runs and +170 for the Brewers -1.5 runs.

The Brewers are 79-61 straight up (SU) and 71-68 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 12.8 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 1.4 units (ATS). Milwaukee has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total went over in four of those seven. On the other hand, the Cubs have gone 81-57 SU this year and are 70-67 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 4.4 units for moneyline gamblers and 2.9 units ATS. Chicago’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Brewers games have an over/under record of 67-68-4 in 2018. The Cubs have been a good under bet with a total record of 60-74-3.

Left-hander Jose Quintana is the probable starter for Chicago. Quintana is 11-9 with a 4.21 ERA and 123 strikeouts. He’s 2-1 with 21 strikeouts and a 2.63 ERA against Milwaukee this year (four starts).

The Brewers will put the ball in the right hand of Jhoulys Chacin (14-5, 3.53 ERA), who has 135 punchouts and 61 walks as well as a 1.21 WHIP. Chacin is 2-0 with 17 strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA over two starts against Chicago this year.

Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starters have a 3.99 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.82 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 10.0 K/9. In 60 games against NL Central foes, Brewers starters have an ERA of 3.76 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.39.

The Milwaukee offense is putting up 4.5 runs per contest, including 3.7 per game against divisional foes and 6.4 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .254/.373/.432 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.

The Brewers’ hitters have been led by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain. Yelich is slashing .315/.379/.555 with 27 home runs, 85 RBIs, 96 runs and 16 steals, while Cain is hitting .310 with 10 homers, 35 RBIs, 75 runs and 26 stolen bases.

For the visitors, Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 3.93 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 7.68 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.34, along with a K-per-9 of 8.70.

Cubs hitters have slashed .262/.341/.421 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game this year, including 4.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Second baseman Javier Baez and first baseman Anthony Rizzo continue to lead Chicago’s hitters. Baez is hitting .297/.328/.575 with 30 home runs, 100 RBIs, 86 runs and 21 stolen bases, while Rizzo (.283/.379/.486) is up to 24 homers, 90 RBIs and 64 runs scored.

The Cubs have gained 0.3 units and are 54-54 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 46 of those games, compared to 59 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have lost 2.4 units and are 15-19 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in 20 of those games, compared to 14 that went under the total.

Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has hit in four of Chicago’s last seven games.
  • The Cubs have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
  • Milwaukee has recorded 25.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 23.6 over its last five.
  • The Brewers have won six of their last seven games SU.