Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Chicago Cubs will face the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. The game gets underway 9:40 p.m. ET and WGN will broadcast this NL showdown.

Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Odds

The Diamondbacks are 78-73 straight up (SU) and 75-75 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 6.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 3.6 units (ATS). Arizona has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Cubs have gone 88-62 SU this year and are 73-76 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 2.4 units for moneyline bettors, but have lost 3.0 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread just once in its last seven games and the total has gone under in all seven of them.

Arizona games have had an over/under record of 68-76-6 in 2018. Chicago has also been a great under bet with a total record of 65-81-3.

The southpaw Mike Montgomery is the projected starter for the visiting Cubs. Montgomery is 4-5 with a 3.87 ERA and 74 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Diamondbacks this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Diamondbacks will turn to righty Matt Andriese (3-5, 4.76 ERA), who’s got 74 punchouts and 23 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.32. Andriese did not record a start against the Cubs in 2017.

Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 3.85 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 7.82 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.30, along with a K/9 of 8.60.

Cubs hitters have slashed .260/.337/.414 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 2.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

Second baseman Javier Baez and first baseman Anthony Rizzo continue to lead Chicago’s hitters. Baez is hitting .294/.328/.566 with 32 home runs, 105 RBIs, 94 runs and 21 stolen bases, while Rizzo has a .277 average with 24 homers, 93 RBIs and 67 runs scored.

For the home team, Arizona’s pitchers have given up 4.0 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 3.78 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.59 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.1 K/9.

Arizona’s offense has produced 4.3 runs per outing, including 3.7 per game over its last 10 games and 3.2 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .194/.246/.388 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that span.

The Diamondbacks’ offense has been led by first baseman Paul Goldschmidt and left fielder David Peralta. Goldschmidt is hitting .299/.400/.553 with 33 home runs, 83 RBIs and 94 runs scored, and Peralta’s line is .296/.353/.519 with 28 homers, 82 RBIs and 73 runs scored.

The Cubs have lost 0.3 units and are 57-60 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 50 of those games, compared to 64 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have lost 1.4 units and are 25-27 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in 22 of those games, compared to 27 that went under the total.

Chicago Cubs at Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • Chicago has tallied 10 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Arizona has 17 XBH over its last five.
  • The Cubs have won four of their last five games SU while the Diamondbacks have lost five of their last six.
  • Chicago has posted 15.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 16.8 over its last five.
  • The Cubs have hit five home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.