Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Chicago Cubs are ready to play their divisional rival Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. The matchup is going to be nationally broadcasted on Fox Sports One and the game gets underway 3:05 p.m. ET.

Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds

Vegas has listed Chicago (+110) as the underdog to Milwaukee (-130). The total sits at 9 runs and bettors can wager on the over for even money (+100) and the under for -120. Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the current runline odds standing at Cubs -1.5 runs (-135) and Brewers +1.5 runs (+125).

The Cubs are 3-4 SU and have gone 3-3 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 2.4 units for moneyline bettors this year and 0.5 units ATS. The Brewers are 5-3 SU and 2-5 ATS. They’ve gained 0.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 3.7 units ATS.

Milwaukee games have an over/under record of 3-4 so far in 2018. The Cubs have an over/under record of 2-4.

The Cubs have gained 0.6 units and are 2-1 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in two of those games, compared to one that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have lost 0.1 units and are 1-3 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in two of those games, compared to two that’ve gone under.

Yu Darvish (0-0, 10.38 ERA) will get the start for the visiting Cubs. The right-handed Darvish struck out 209 hitters in 186 innings last year (with only 58 walks) but finished the season 10-12 overall with a 3.86 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP.

The Brewers have tabbed righty Zach Davies (0-1, 9.53 ERA) as their starter. Davies started 33 games last year and finished the season 17-9 overall with a 3.90 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP. He recorded five starts against Chicago a year ago and put up a 2-2 record with a 3.66 ERA and 24 strikeouts.

Milwaukee’s pitching staff has allowed 5.0 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The club’s starters have a 6.10 ERA, 1.59 WHIP and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 2.21 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 9.1 K/9. In five divisional games, Brewers starters have an ERA of 7.13 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.57.

Milwaukee’s hitters have produced 3.9 runs per contest, including 2.8 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .241/.299/.406 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain have led the Brewers offense so far. Yelich is hitting .385/.407/.577 with 10 hits, five RBIs and six runs scored, while Cain’s line is .294/.351/.500 with 10 hits, four RBIs and four runs scored.

For the visitors, Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 3.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.91 ERA, 1.58 WHIP and 5.89 K/9. The bullpen has an excellent ERA of just 0.84, along with a K-per-9 of 9.74.

Cubs hitters have slashed .221/.321/.364 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including over the teams last five outings (2-3 SU).

Chicago’s hitters have been led by third baseman Kris Bryant and shortstop Addison Russell. Bryant is hitting .300/.432/.500 with nine hits, five RBIs and four runs scored, while Russell is hitting .308 with eight hits, two RBIs and three runs scored.

Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The Brewers went 9-10 SU against the Cubs last season.
  • The Cubs bullpen managed an ERA of 3.96 against the Brewers last year.