Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds Matchup

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball

The Chicago Cubs will head east to play their divisional rival Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park. The matchup will begin at 4:10 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Chicago will showcase the game.

Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds

Vegas has listed Chicago (+100) as the underdog to Cincinnati (-120). The total sits at 9.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over for +100 and the under for -120. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at Cubs -1.5 runs (-145) and Reds +1.5 runs (+135).

The Reds are 0-3 SU and 0-2 ATS. They’ve lost 2.0 units for moneyline bettors and 2.3 units against the spread (ATS). The Cubs are 2-2 SU and have gone 2-1 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 0.0 units for moneyline gamblers this year and 0.6 units ATS.

Reds games have a one-1 over/under record in 2018. Chicago has an over/under record of two-1.

The Cubs just lost a 6-0 game to the Marlins, while the Reds are coming off of a 6-5 loss against the Nationals.

Tyler Chatwood will get the nod for Chicago. The right-handed Chatwood started 25 games last year and finished the season 8-15 overall with a 4.69 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP.

The Reds are rolling with righty Tyler Mahle as their starter. Mahle started 4 games last year and finished the season 1-2 overall with a 2.70 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP.

Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 7.0 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have a 5.29 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 5.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 9.90 ERA, 2.00 WHIP and 8.1 K/9. In zero divisional games, Reds starters have an ERA of and the bullpen’s ERA is .

The Cincinnati offense is putting up 4.0 runs per outing, including per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .248/.307/.410 over its last five games and is 0-3 SU during that stretch.

Second baseman Scooter Gennett and right fielder Scott Schebler have led the Reds’ hitters this year. Gennett is slashing .538/.538/.692 with seven hits and one RBI, while Schebler’s line is .333/.385/.667 with four hits, one RBI and three runs.

Compared to his total season slash line of .233/.307/.484, Schebler did not seem to enjoy hitting at home last season, slashing .198/.298/.387 across 258 plate appearances.

In the visiting dugout, Chicago’s pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 6.86 ERA, 1.73 WHIP and 5.95 K/9. The bullpen has an excellent ERA of just 0.75, along with a WHIP of 1.73.

Cubs hitters have slashed .225/.321/.385 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-2 SU).

Third baseman Bryant Bryant and left fielder Kyle Schwarber have led Chicago’s offense. Bryant is slashing .389/.522/.722 with seven hits, four RBIs and four runs scored, while Schwarber (.333/.375/.867) is up to five hits, two homers, three RBIs and three runs scored.

Compared to his total season slash line of .210/.314/.466, Schwarber didn’t do as well hitting against righty pitching on the road last season, maintaining a slash line of just .160/.269/.370 across 186 such plate appearances.

Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The Cubs went 12-7 SU against the Reds last season.
  • The Cubs’ bullpen posted an ERA of 5.11 against the Reds last year.