Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres Matchup

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Chicago Cubs will be squaring off against the San Diego Padres at PETCO Park. The game gets going at 10:10 p.m. ET and this NL showdown will be shown on both WLS and FSSD.

Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres Odds

Chicago (-165) is entering this game as the favorite over San Diego (+155) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this one at 8 runs (-115 for the over and -105 for the under). The games runline odds sit at -115 for picking the Cubs -1.5 runs and -105 for the Padres +1.5.

The Padres are just 40-57 straight up (SU) and 45-51 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 6.2 units for moneyline bettors and 22.3 units (ATS). The Cubs have gone 53-38 SU this year and are 46-44 ATS. Overall, the teams lost 0.6 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, but have gained 3.4 units ATS.

San Diego games have an over/under record of 42-51-3 so far in 2018. The Cubs have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 40-49-1.

Kyle Hendricks will get the start for Chicago. The right-handed Hendricks (5-8, 3.93 ERA) has recorded 80 strikeouts in 105.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Padres this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 9.00 ERA and five strikeouts over five innings).

The Padres will be sending righty Luis Perdomo (1-3, 7.09 ERA) to the mound. Perdomo has 20 punchouts and 16 walks to his name, as well as a 2.10 WHIP. Perdomo only made one start against the Cubs in 2017 (0-0, 0.00 ERA and four strikeouts across seven innings).

San Diego’s pitchers have given up 4.6 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The teams starters have a 4.66 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.60 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.6 K/9.

The San Diego hitters have put up 3.7 runs per contest, including 3.2 per game over its last 10 games and 2.8 per game over their last five. The teams hit .212/.264/.341 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that span.

First baseman Eric Hosmer and outfielder Jose Pirela have led the Padres batters this year. Hosmer is hitting .247/.317/.391 with nine home runs, 39 RBIs and 39 runs scored, while Pirela’s line is .260/.312/.356 with three homers, 27 RBIs and 45 runs.

In the other dugout, Chicago’s pitching staff allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 3.87 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 7.60 K/9. The bullpen has logged a solid ERA of just 3.03, along with a WHIP of 1.35 and a K-per-9 of 9.27.

Cubs hitters have slashed .264/.347/.424 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.9 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the teams last five outings (3-2 SU).

Chicago’s offense has been led by second baseman Javier Baez and left fielder Albert Almora Jr. who collectively have launched 22 home runs. Baez is slashing .291/.327/.562 with 18 home runs, 66 RBIs, 59 runs and 18 steals, while Almora Jr. is slashing .319/.357/.438 with four homers, 28 RBIs and 48 runs scored.

The Cubs have lost 6.8 units and are 33-36 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 31 of those games, compared to 37 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Padres have netted 1.9 units and are 35-31 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The overs hit in 26 of those games, as opposed to 37 which went under the total.

Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has hit in five of San Diego’s last seven games.
  • The Padres have dropped four of their last five games SU.
  • Chicago has posted 23.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20.0 over its last five.
  • The Cubs have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit 12 over their last 10.