Chicago Cubs at Colorado Rockies Free Pick

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The Colorado Rockies are set to host the Chicago Cubs at Coors Field. This NL matchup begins at 3:10 p.m. ET and you can watch it on either ATRM or NSCH.

Chicago Cubs at Colorado Rockies Odds

Chicago (-125) is entering this game as the favorite over Colorado (+115) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 12 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total currently stand at -110 for both the over and the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at +120 for the Cubs -1.5 runs and -140 for the Rockies +1.5 runs.

The Cubs have gone 37-29 SU this year and are 32-33 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 2.6 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having lost 1.6 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Rockies, on the other hand, are 35-31 SU and 35-30 ATS. They’ve gained 4.8 units for moneyline bettors and 2.6 units ATS. Colorado has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Rockies games have an over/under record of 32-28-5 so far in 2019. Chicago has been a decent over bet with a total record of 34-28-3.

Southpaw Cole Hamels will get the nod for Chicago. Hamels is 5-2 with a 3.24 ERA and 74 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Rockies this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Rockies are turning to righty Antonio Senzatela (5-4, 4.95 ERA), who has 33 strikeouts and 25 walks, in addition to a 1.53 WHIP. Senzatela did not record a start against the Cubs in 2018.

Colorado’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.59, a WHIP of 1.43 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.2. The bullpen has a 3.92 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 8.3 K/9.

The Colorado hitters have produced 5.4 runs per outing, including 4.8 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team has hit .258/.328/.417 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Third baseman Nolan Arenado and shortstop Trevor Story have led the Rockies’ batters this year. Arenado is hitting .330/.381/.602 with 17 home runs, 57 RBIs and 50 runs scored, while Story is batting .284 with 15 homers, 44 RBIs, 57 runs and 11 steals.

For the visitors, Chicago’s pitching staff allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.69 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.40 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.30, along with a K-per-9 of 9.06.

Cubs hitters have slashed .253/.343/.453 on their way to 5.2 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Shortstop Javier Baez and first baseman Anthony Rizzo continue to lead Chicago’s hitters. Baez is slashing .295/.335/.563 with 16 home runs, 44 RBIs and 42 runs scored, while Rizzo (.286/.399/.558) has produced 17 homers, 47 RBIs and 42 runs scored.

The Cubs have lost 0.1 units and are 27-27 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 28 of those games, as opposed to 24 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Rockies have netted 1.6 units and are 14-9 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 11 of those games, compared to nine which went under the total.

Cubs vs. Rockies Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has cashed in just two of Chicago’s last seven contests.
  • The Cubs have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
  • The Cubs have a total OPS of .796 this season and an OPS of .809 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Rockies’ OPS sits at .780 overall and .773 against righties.
  • Chicago has posted 20.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20.2 over its last five.