Chicago Cubs at Chicago White Sox Free Pick

Jonathan GarosArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Chicago Cubs are set to face the Chicago White Sox at Guaranteed Rate Field. NBC Sports Chicago will be televising this interleague matchup and the game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Chicago Cubs at Chicago White Sox Odds

the White Sox (+175) are the home-team underdog against The Cubs (-185) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -120 for the over and +100 for the under. You can also bet on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at Cubs -1.5 runs (-130) and White Sox +1.5 runs (+110).

The Cubs have gone 89-64 SU this year and are 75-77 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle a whole lot this year, gaining 3.5 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having lost 2.0 units ATS. They have covered the spread only twice over their last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The White Sox, on the other hand, are 61-92 SU and 78-74 ATS. They’ve lost 14.3 units for moneyline bettors and 1.9 units ATS. They’ve covered the spread four times in their last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.

White Sox games have an over/under record of 70-74-8 in 2018. Cubs games have gone under 82 times, gone over 67 times and pushed on three occasions.

The left-handed Jon Lester is projected to start for Chicago. Lester (16-6, 3.43 ERA) has racked up 142 punchouts in 170.2 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 1.59 ERA against the White Sox this year.

The White Sox will send righty Lucas Giolito (10-11, 5.77 ERA) to the mound. Giolito has 118 strikeouts and 83 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.43 WHIP. Giolito is 1-0 with three strikeouts and a 4.76 ERA in one start against the Cubs this year.

As a unit, the White Sox’ pitchers have given up 5.2 runs per game overall in 2018. Their starters have an ERA of 4.88, a WHIP of 1.38 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 6.8. The bullpen has a 4.51 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 9.7 K/9.

The Chicago offense has produced 4.1 runs per contest, including 4.3 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .276/.335/.458 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Third baseman Yolmer Sanchez and shortstop Tim Anderson have led the way for the White Sox batters this year. Sanchez is hitting .248/.315/.381 with eight home runs, 52 RBIs, 57 runs and 14 stolen bases, and Anderson’s line is .241/.282/.405 with 19 homers, 62 RBIs, 74 runs and 26 stolen bases.

For the visitors, the Cubs’ pitching staff allowed 4.0 runs per game and their starting pitchers own a 3.92 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 7.88 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.37, along with a WHIP of 1.34 and a K-per-9 of 8.59.

The Cubs offense has slashed .259/.336/.412 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game this season, including 3.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Second baseman Javier Baez and first baseman Anthony Rizzo have led Chicago’s offense. Baez is slashing .292/.327/.565 with 33 home runs, 107 RBIs, 96 runs and 21 stolen bases. Rizzo is hitting .278/.374/.465 with 24 homers, 95 RBIs and 68 runs scored.

The Cubs have gained 0.7 units and are 58-60 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 51 of those games, compared to 64 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the White Sox have lost 5.4 units and are 20-18 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 16 of those games, compared to 21 that’ve gone under.

Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends,

  • Chicago has logged 11 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Chicago has 17 XBH over its last five.
  • The Cubs have posted 16.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over their last 10 contests and 18.2 over their last five.
  • The Cubs have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.