Chicago Cubs at Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Arizona Diamondbacks are set to host the Chicago Cubs at Chase Field. WGN will showcase this NL showdown. The game is slated to get underway at 9:40 p.m. ET.

Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Chicago (+120) as the underdog to Arizona (-130). The total stands at 7.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over for -120 and the under for +100. The game’s most recent runline odds sit at -175 for taking the Cubs +1.5 runs and +155 for the Diamondbacks -1.5 runs.

The Diamondbacks are 78-72 straight up (SU) and 74-75 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 5.3 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 2.6 units (ATS). Arizona has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Cubs have gone 87-62 SU this year and are 73-75 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 3.9 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, but have lost 2.0 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread only once in its last seven games and the under has cashed in six of those seven.

Arizona games have a 67-76-6 over/under record in 2018. Chicago has also been a good under bet with a total record of 65-80-3.

Right-hander Kyle Hendricks is projected to start for the visiting Cubs. Hendricks is 11-11 with a 3.71 ERA and 146 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with eight strikeouts and a 5.40 ERA against Arizona this year.

The Diamondbacks are sending lefty Patrick Corbin (11-5, 3.00 ERA) to the mound. Corbin has 230 strikeouts and 42 walks to his name, as well as a 1.02 WHIP. Corbin is 1-0 with nine strikeouts and a 1.29 ERA in one start against Chicago this year.

Arizona’s pitchers have given up 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have a 3.77 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.58 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.1 K/9.

Arizona’s hitters have produced 4.4 runs per contest, including 4.1 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .200/.260/.413 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that span.

First baseman Paul Goldschmidt and outfielder David Peralta have led the Diamondbacks’ offense this year. Goldschmidt is slashing .299/.400/.555 with 33 home runs, 83 RBIs and 94 runs scored, while Peralta is hitting .298 with 28 homers, 82 RBIs and 73 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Chicago’s pitching staff allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 3.88 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 7.81 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.30, along with a K/9 of 8.60.

The Cubs offense has slashed .260/.338/.414 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 2.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Chicago’s hitters have been led by second baseman Javier Baez and first baseman Anthony Rizzo. Baez is slashing .294/.328/.563 with 31 home runs, 103 RBIs, 93 runs and 21 stolen bases, while Rizzo is hitting .277/.374/.469 with 24 homers, 92 RBIs and 66 runs scored.

The Cubs have gained 2.7 units and are 16-16 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 15 of those games, compared to 17 that’ve gone under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have lost 3.9 units and are 49-48 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 45 of those games, as opposed to 49 which went under the total.

Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has hit in only two of Chicago’s last seven games.
  • The Cubs have hit three home runs in their last 10 games, including two over their last five.
  • Chicago has recorded 16.1 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 games and 14.8 over its last five.
  • The Diamondbacks have lost four of their last five games SU.