Bowling Green Falcons vs. Miami Football Free Preview

Victor TrejosArticles, College Football, Football

The Miami (OH) RedHawks (-4.5) aren’t traveling far to face their in-conference rival Bowling Green Falcons at Doyt L. Perry Stadium. Kickoff for this game is pegged for 3:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to ESPN+.

Betting Preview: Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Bowling Green Falcons

Bowling Green is a live dog in this one and is currently getting 4.5 points. In order to take the favorite, moneyline bettors would currently have to put up $200 to win $100 back on the RedHawks (-200). The Falcons are getting +170 moneyline odds. If one squad can create a bunch of points in the early stages it will create a decent live betting opportunity. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 58 points.

The disappointing RedHawks are 0-3 against the spread (ATS) and are down 3.4 units so far. The team has posted an O/U record of 1-2.

The Falcons have gained 0.0 units this season. The team is 0-3 ATS and has an O/U record of 1-1.

The RedHawks have gone 0-3 straight up (SU) and they haven’t faced any MAC competition yet. The Falcons are 1-2 SU overall and are also 0-0 SU in conference play.

The RedHawks are most-recently reeling from a 26-3 defeat to Minnesota last week. Gus Ragland completed just 11-of-20 passes for 108 yards and one interception. Maurice Thomas (36 yards on 10 rushes) and Davion Johnson (50 yards on nine carries) led the ground attack while Jack Sorenson (three receptions, 27 yards) and Jaylon Bester (two catches, 14 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.

Bowling Green is coming off of a 42-35 win over Eastern Kentucky. The defense allowed the Colonels to rush for 389 yards on 60 attempts, including five rush TDs. Daryl McCleskey Jr. was on a different level for Eastern Kentucky, putting up 168 rushing yards and three touchdowns on 19 attempts. For Bowling Green, Jarret Doege completed 28-of-39 passes for 258 yards, four touchdowns and one interception. Andrew Clair (90 rushing yards on 25 attempts, one TD) mounted the running game while Quintin Morris (eight receptions, 93 yards, two TDs) and Deric Phouthavong (seven catches, 82 yards, two TDs) led the receiving attack in the win.

Miami (OH) has run the ball on 41.2 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Bowling Green has a rush percentage of 52.7 percent. The RedHawks have produced 79.0 rush yards/game and have just a single touchdown on the ground this year. The Falcons are averaging 93.7 rushing yards per game and have two total rush TDs.

If the results so far this season can translate to this game, then it’s looking like the RedHawks might be the more disruptive team in the trenches. Their offensive line has given up only 21 sacks while their D-line registered 18 sacks. The Falcons offensive line has allowed 29 sacks and their defense has sacked opposing QBs on just 15 occasions.

The RedHawks offensive scheme has averaged 201.3 yards in the air overall and has three passing score so far. The Falcons have put up 218.0 pass yards per game and have nine total pass TDs.

On the defensive side of the ball, Miami (OH) has allowed 159.0 rush yards and 164.7 pass yards per game. The Bowling Green defense has allowed 174.0 yards per game to opposing passers and 348.3 yards per game to opposing runners. The RedHawks are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of 6.78 to opponents, while the Falcons have allowed an 8.31 ANY/A.

Offensively, Ragland has amassed 465 passing yards this year, and has connected on 55 percent of his 66 attempts with three passing scores and one interception. He’s got a 6.64 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 2.25 over the past two outings.

For the home team, Jarret Doege has completed 50-of-77 passes for 511 yards, seven TDs and three INTs. Doege’s ANY/A sits at 5.88 for the season and 5.15 across his last two outings.

When these two schools met a year ago, Bowling Green earned the win 37-29.

Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Bowling Green Falcons Free Pick

SU Winner: Miami (OH), ATS Winner: Miami (OH), O/U: Over

Team Betting Notes

  • The RedHawks offense has registered one pass play of 40 or more yards, while the Falcons have accounted for two such plays.
  • The Miami (OH) defense has allowed zero pass plays of 40+ yards, while Bowling Green has given up six such plays.
  • The Miami (OH) offense has created zero rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Bowling Green has created four such runs.
  • The RedHawks defense has allowed one rushing play of 20+ yards, while the Falcons have given up 10 such runs.
  • Each team defense has produced five sacks this year.
  • Miami (OH), as a team, has averaged 3.0 yards per carry over its last two contests.
  • Bowling Green has averaged 2.1 yards per carry over its last two.
  • Miami (OH) was favored by 14 points in its previous game and the O/U was set at 47.5. The under cashed and Miami (OH) did not cover in the 26-3 loss to Minnesota.
  • Over its last three matchups, Miami (OH) is 0-3 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • Bowling Green was favored by -15 points in its previous outing. The team did not cover the spread in the 42-35 win over Eastern Kentucky.