Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Matchup

Posts AdminArticles, Baseball, MLB

J.D. Martinez and the Boston Red Sox are making a road trip to Toronto to square off against a divisional rival in the Blue Jays at Rogers Centre. The matchup will begin at 1:07 p.m. ET and New England Sports Network will be televising the game.

Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Odds

Boston (-200) is favored over Toronto (+185) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at 9.5 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -110 for the over and -110 for the under. This game currently has a runline of Red Sox -1.5 (-140) and Blue Jays +1.5 (+120).

The Blue Jays are 19-27 straight up (SU) and 22-23 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 7.5 units for moneyline bettors and 5.1 units ATS. Toronto has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. On the other hand, the Red Sox have gone 24-22 SU this year and are 18-27 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 12.3 units for moneyline gamblers in the season’s early going and 11.2 units ATS. Boston is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

Toronto games have an over/under record of 18-26-1 thus far in 2019. Boston has been a decent over bet with a total record of 26-18-1.

The southpaw David Price will get the nod for the visiting Red Sox. Price is 1-2 with a 3.75 ERA and 42 strikeouts. He has yet to face Toronto this year, but he made four starts against the Blue Jays in 2018, putting together a 4-0 record against them with a 2.63 ERA and 25 strikeouts.

The Blue Jays will send righty Edwin Jackson (0-0, 3.60 ERA) to the mound. Jackson has two strikeouts and one walks as well as a 1.40 WHIP. Jackson did not register a start against the Red Sox in 2018.

Boston’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.87 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 9.81 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.67, along with a K-per-9 of 10.38.

The Red Sox offense has slashed .254/.341/.423 on its way to 5.2 runs scored per game this season, including 3.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Boston’s offensive production has been powered by left fielder J.D. Martinez and third baseman Rafael Devers. Martinez is slashing .308/.390/.521 with nine home runs, 29 RBIs and 28 runs scored. Devers is hitting .306 with three homers, 22 RBIs, 29 runs and five stolen bases.

In the other dugout, Toronto’s pitching staff has given up 4.2 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.30, a WHIP of 1.38 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.0. The bullpen has a 3.27 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 9.6 K/9. In eight games against AL East opponents, Blue Jays starters have an ERA of 3.29 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.18.

The Toronto offense has put up 3.7 runs per outing, including 4.8 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .222/.300/.405 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Freddy Galvis and Randal Grichuk have led the Blue Jays’ hitters so far. Galvis is hitting .274/.300/.451 with six home runs, 18 RBIs and 18 runs scored, and Grichuk’s line is .243/.303/.428 with seven homers, 18 RBIs and 22 runs scored.

The Red Sox have lost 3.7 units and are 15-18 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 18 of those games, compared to 14 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have netted 4.5 units and are 7-5 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in three of those games, compared to nine that went under the total.

Red Sox at Blue Jays Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Boston has tallied 17 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Toronto has 14 XBH over its last five.
  • Boston has recorded 26.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.4 over its last five.
  • The Red Sox have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games. The Blue Jays have hit 13 over their last 10.
  • The Red Sox have an OPS of .764 this season and an OPS of .762 against right-handed pitchers. The Blue Jays’ OPS sits at .657 overall and .670 against righties.