Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Boston Red Sox are facing off against the New York Yankees in Game 3 of the American League Divisional Series. The series is currently tied 1-1, and this matchup will be televised on TBS. The game gets underway 7:40 p.m. ET.

Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees Odds

Vegas has listed New York (-170) as the favorite over Boston (+160). The total stands at 8.5 runs and bettors can wager on either the over or the under for -110. The game’s current runline odds sit at -135 for betting the Red Sox +1.5 runs and +115 for the Yankees -1.5.

Including the regular season, the Red Sox have gone 109-55 SU this year and are 94-70 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 31.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 21.2 units ATS. The Yankees, on the other hand, are 102-63 SU and 83-82 ATS. They’ve lost 8.1 units for moneyline bettors and 9.9 units ATS.

Neither squad has positioned itself as an obvious over/under bet this year. Yankees games have had an over/under record of 79-79-7 in 2018. Red Sox games have gone over 78 times, gone under 78 times and pushed on eight occasions.

Right-hander Nathan Eovaldi is getting the start for the visiting Red Sox. Eovaldi is 6-7 with a 3.81 ERA and 101 strikeouts. He’s 1-1 with 18 strikeouts and a 1.93 ERA against New York this year (four starts).

The Yankees are sending righty Luis Severino (19-8, 3.39 ERA) to the mound. Severino has 220 strikeouts and 46 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.14. Severino is 2-2 with 31 strikeouts and a 3.56 ERA over five starts against Boston this year.

With a team slash line of .213/.284/.344, the Red Sox have averaged 3.5 runs scored through two playoff games. The Yankees are hitting .253/.357/.475 through three games and the team has managed 5.7 runs during this year’s playoffs.

The Yankees bullpen has registered a postseason ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 0.93, while Red Sox relievers have performed noticeably worse with a 4.09 ERA and 1.64 WHIP.

Boston’s offensive production has been fueled by J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts, who collectively have belted 76 home runs. Martinez is slashing .331/.402/.631 with 44 home runs, 133 RBIs and 112 runs scored, while Betts is slashing .343/.436/.636 with 32 homers, 80 RBIs, 130 runs and 30 steals.

Miguel Andujar and Giancarlo Stanton have led the Yankees’ batters this year. Andujar is hitting .297/.330/.524 with 27 home runs, 92 RBIs and 83 runs scored, while Stanton’s line sits at .265/.342/.508 with 39 homers, 101 RBIs and 106 runs.

The Yankees are coming off of a 6-2 victory in Game .

Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in six of New York’s last seven games.
  • New York has posted 26.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.2 over its last five.
  • The Red Sox have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Yankees have hit 22 over their last 10.